Weekly Report
A Wild Week of Metals, Yields, Stocks and Dollar
Just after DOW hit new record high in the middle of last week, the rally was choked by skyrocketing treasury yields. Dollar surprisingly ended as the strongest one for the week, followed by Euro and then Sterling. Australian Dollar suffered most as it reversed some of the month's gains....
Aussie Surged With Industrial Metal Prices, More Upside in Favor
Stocks markets took a breather last week while focus turned to surging industrial metal prices and treasury yields. Strength in metals was seen more about supply shortage than recovery in demand. That somewhat also reinforced reflation trades. US 10-year yield was back above 1.3%, German 10-year bund yield at...
Dollar Tumbled on Risk-On Sentiments Again, Ignored Yield Strength
Dollar ended as the worst performing one, reversing much of prior week's rebound. Risk-on sentiments appeared to be leading the greenback lower again, and boosted Australian Dollar as the strongest one. But the development in other major currencies were less clear.
The strength in stocks and oil were not much...
Dollar Rally Choked by Job Data, Spotlights Turn to Sterling and Aussie
Dollar was in a pole position to end as the strongest major currency. But disappointing non-farm payroll report gave dollar bulls a reality check as the greenback ended mixed, after late selloff. Australian and New Zealand Dollar have indeed closed as the best performers, followed by Sterling. Euro, Swiss...
Markets Down after Roller-Coaster Rides, Dollar Upside Still Capped
January ended with an exceptionally volatility week. While GME occupied a lot of headlines, there were other important developments like vaccines, US stimulus, and central bank expectations. Sterling ended as the strongest one with traders paring bets on negative interest rate of BoE. The same went for New Zealand...
Euro Reversed Initial Selloff after ECB, Turning the Corner?
Euro has surprisingly ended as the strongest one last week. While a rebound against Dollar was expected, the turnaround against commodity currency, in a risk-on week, was impressive. Though, as discussed below, the common currency still has a lot to prove. Sterling also overwhelmed New Zealand Dollar slightly and...
Dollar and Yen in Driving Seat While Other Markets Turned Mixed
Sterling ended the week as the best performing one. But the late selloff, and rejection by resistance against Dollar and Yen, suggest that the latter too were in the driving seat. Weakness was apparently see in Euro, New Zealand Dollar, and to a lesser extent Australian. Dollar could be...
Dollar Relatively Resilient in Strong Risk-on Market, Setting the Base for a Rebound?
Global investors were all in risk seeking mode in the first full week of 2021. That came despite all the headlines of surges in coronavirus infection and death, return to strict lockdowns, chaos in Washington and Joe Biden's certification as US President-Elect. Dollar didn't perform too well but there...
Dollar Resumed Down Trend, Pound Still Awaiting Brexit Trade Talks
Dollar's broad based down trend resumption was a major theme last week. Though, Canadian Dollar was the worst performing one, as it digested recent oil price supported rally. Overall risk appetite, with NASDAQ extending record run, kept Yen and Swiss Franc soft too.
As Brexit trade negotiations went into an...
Sterling in Free Fall as No-Deal Brexit Could Become Reality… Soon
Sterling was in free fall last week after both UK and EU admitted that a no-deal Brexit is more likely than not. Negotiation deadline was ended to end of Sunday. Euro and Dollar, followed as the next weakest and focus turned to rally in commodity currencies. In particular, Australian...
Dollar Index Might Find Temporary Support at 90 after Down Trend Resumption
Selloff in the Dollar was the main theme in the currency markets last week. With the arrival of coronavirus vaccines, the global economy looks set to return to normal next year, despite some cautious comments from central bankers. Yen might look worst than Dollar but it is indeed still...
Nikkei Shone in Global Stock Rally, Sterling Tumbled on Brexit Uncertainty
Vaccine optimism pushed global stocks higher last week, with Nikkei completing the most impressive rally. Commodity currencies ended generally higher as led by New Zealand Dollar. Yen and Dollar ended as the worst performing ones. Though, no key levels were taken out, except in NZD/USD and NZD/JPY. Dollar index...
Markets Turned into Consolidation, With Conflicting Signals
Markets, including stocks, gold and currencies, were generally bounded in consolidative mode last week. News regarding coronavirus vaccines failed to give sentiments another boost. Instead, investors are waiting for fresh inspirations. Dollar ended as the worst performing one, but stayed inside prior week's range, except versus Kiwi. Euro, and...
Vaccine News Solidify Risk On Mode; But Yen Selling Lacks Conviction
News of coronavirus vaccine readiness was the biggest market mover last week, solidifying near term risk-on sentiments. Subsequent price actions in major global indices were clearly corrective looking, setting the stage for further rally. Swiss Franc and Yen ended as the worst performing ones, followed by Canadian Dollar, which...
Stocks Ready for Upside Breakout, But Yen Crosses Seem Not Agreeing
Politics aside, stock investors were the biggest winners of US presidential elections, while Dollar holders were the losers. The greenback ended as the worst performing one, followed by Yen by a wide margin. Australian Dollar shrugged of RBA easing and ended as the strongest, leading other commodity currencies. European...
Key Levels to Watch as US Presidential Election Looms
Global equities tumbled notably last week, partly as coronavirus spread was hitting new record highs. Also of the same importance, US investor had lightened up their positions in preparation for the Presidential elections. Yen and Dollar surged broadly to end as the strongest one. Euro was the worst performing,...
Euro Strong as Funds Flow Out of American Assets, But Technical Pictures Mixed
Funds were flowing out of US assets last week as Dollar ended as the worst performing major currency. Treasury yields surged as bonds tumbled while stocks gyrated lower. But the movements were not decisive enough yet as the greenback still holds above recent lows against major currencies like Euro...
Chaotic Markets With Many Themes Going On
It's a rather chaotic week with many themes developing. The first October surprise of US President Donald Trump's coronavirus infects seemed to have fade as he's back in election campaign. Just as challenger Joe Biden appeared to be widening lead, according to mainstream polls, another October surprise surfaced with...
Dollar Tumbled as Investors Hungry for Risks, Down Trend Resuming?
Yen and Dollar ended the week as overwhelmingly the worst performing ones. Despite all the jitters regarding US President Donald Trump's coronavirus infections, stimulus talks stalemate, major stock indices ended the week strongly higher. Yen is additionally pressured by strong rally in treasury yields too.
On the other hand, Canadian...
More Risk Aversion Likely after First October Surprise
Investors could have been anticipating an October surprise. But none could have expected it to come that early, with US President Donald Trump's coronavirus infections. The world has been in historically high level of uncertainty ever since the virus outbreak in Wuhan of China half a year ago. And...