Weekly Report
Dollar With Limited Losses After Fed; Yen Slumps; Sterling Soars
Dollar finished last week on the back foot, reacting to Fed's decision to cut rates by 50 bps. While the greenback lost ground to most major rivals, its decline was relatively modest. Notably, Dollar managed to close higher against both Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc, and it continued to...
Rumors Eclipse Data in Market Sentiment, Dollar Braces for Downside Risk
The financial markets have been more influenced by speculations than by concrete economic data, as anticipation builds ahead of Fed's interest rate decision on September 18. Recent US economic indicators, including the latest CPI report and the prior week's non-farm payrolls, pointed toward a cautious and modest 25bps rate...
Market Jitters Rise as Indecisive Fed Outlook Sparks Risk Aversion Across Assets
Investors expressed clear dissatisfaction with last week's US non-farm payroll report, not much due to a miss in job growth expectations, but data left the size of the upcoming Fed rate cut unsettled, raising fears that Fed's indecisive stance could worsen the already fragile economic outlook. In response, US...
Rate Cut Hopes Eclipse Recession Concerns, Dollar Tracks Rising Yields
In the final week of August, financial markets delivered unexpected developments that caught many by surprise. Investor sentiment decisively shifted towards a risk-on approach, propelling major indices like DOW and DAX to new record highs. This optimism was largely driven by expectations of forthcoming monetary easing from key central...
Dollar at Risk of Resuming Medium-Term Downtrend as Fed Confirms Rate Cuts Ahead
Fed Chair Jerome Powell's highly anticipated speech at Jackson Hole didn't disappoint market participants, as he clearly signaled that the time for easing monetary policy has arrived. This declaration provided a notable boost to US stock markets on Friday, with major indexes ending the week on a positive note....
Markets Roar Back as Recession Fears Fade, Safe Havens Crumble
The past few weeks highlighted the volatility of global financial markets and how quickly investor sentiment can shift. The sharp selloff in US markets, driven by fears of an impending recession, now appears significantly overdone in light of last week's robust rebound. Strong retail sales data was a key...
Market Panic Subsides as Consolidations Take Hold, but Sentiment Remains Fragile
The global financial markets started last week in a state of panic, driven by a sharp selloff in stock markets, with Japan's Nikkei index experiencing particularly heavy losses. However, as the week progressed, this initial wave of panic appeared to subside, with market sentiment stabilizing somewhat.
This calmness, however, should...
Market Turmoil Intensifies With Deepening Recession Fears
The financial markets were marked by significant turbulence this last week again, dominated by risk aversion. Evidence are surfacing that the US economy is heading for a recession, or even hard landing. Speculation is mounting that Fed might be compelled to implement aggressive rate cuts, totaling 75 basis points...
Multiple Themes Play Out in Turbulent Week, Yield Curve De-Inversion Most Significant
It was a highly volatile week which cannot be characterized by a single theme. Yen had a sharp and robust rally against all major currencies, continuing its rebound from the 38-year lows hit earlier this month, with market participants unwinding their long-held short positions. Alongside Yen, Swiss Franc and...
Shift in Risk Sentiment a Short-Lived Anomaly or Start of a Longer Correction?
Last week proved to be a whirlwind for global markets, marked by a series of shocking events—from the failed assassination attempt on Donald Trump last weekend, to the historic global tech outage that occurred on Friday that brought significant attention but surprisingly little reaction from the financial markets. Still,...
Dollar Plummets as Markets Brace for Double or Even Triple Fed Rate Cuts This Year
Dollar weakened broadly last weeks market expectations on Fed's policy path shifted dramatically. The June US CPI report continued the narrative painted by the previous week's Non-Farm Payroll data, both suggesting further cooling in economic activity and easing price pressures. These developments have firmly positioned a September Federal Reserve...
Pound Outshines as Dollar Sinks, Yen Stabilizing
The past week marked a significant downturn for Dollar, which found itself at the bottom of the currency performance chart. A slew of unfavorable economic reports has highlighted the tangible effects of sustained high interest rates on the American economy, fostering a growing consensus that Fed may begin to...
Yen Hits Multi-Decade Lows, Euro Bounces Back, Dollar Remains Indecisive
Yen remained in the spotlight last week, dominating headlines even as some significant global inflation data also moved markets. The Japanese currency continued its downtrend, reaching multi-decade lows. Despite the prolonged decline, Japanese authorities refrained from intervening directly in the markets. However, the looming threat of intervention kept traders...
Yen’s Plunge Puts Japan’s Intervention Resolve Under Scrutiny
Yen ended as the runaway loser last week as its decline reaccelerated towards the end. With the crucial 160 level against Dollar now within reach, market participants are keenly watching to see if Japan will intervene soon to prop up the Yen, or just let it depreciate further.
Swiss Franc...
Sharp Declines in Euro and European Markets Triggered by French Political Drama
Global financial markets were abuzz with several high-profile events last week, including critical meetings of Fed and BoJ, alongside release of US inflation data. However, it was the escalating political turmoil in France that captured the most attention, significantly impacting Euro and overshadowing other major economic news. The common...
Swiss Franc Outperforms as Global Inflation Data Lack Lasting Impact on Forex
Inflation data were the key drivers in the forex markets last week, though they failed to produce any sustained movements across major currencies. Australian Dollar rallied following robust CPI figures, yet its gains were limited by the prevailing risk-off sentiment in the region.
Similarly, Euro received a modest boost after...
Sterling Climbs as Markets Dial Back BoE Rate Cut Expectations
Last week, global financial markets were heavily influenced by evolving expectations surrounding central bank monetary easing paths and unexpected political developments. British Pound emerged as the most significant gainer, buoyed by fading expectations of an immediate BoE rate cut in June. This shift was precipitated by latest inflation data...
Risk-On Sentiment Pushes US Stocks to New Highs, Safe-Haven Currencies Underperform
Risk-on sentiment dominated global financial markets last week, with investors buoyed by US inflation report that alleviated fears of another interest rate hike by Fed. The DOW defied gravity and surged to a new record high above the 40k mark, while S&P 500 and NASDAQ also set new records....
Global Markets Rally on Central Bank Easing Signals; Currencies Show Subdued Movements
Global markets were buoyed by pervasive risk-on sentiment last week, with both FTSE and DAX setting new records and major US indices posting substantial gains. Even Hong Kong HSI extended its rally from January's lows by 25%, underscoring a broad uptick in investor confidence. In Europe, enthusiasm was particularly...
Dollar Falls as Prospects of Two Fed Rate Cuts This Year Reemerge
Dollar concluded last week with significant losses, influenced by a set of factors that realigned market expectations and investor sentiment. A pivotal moment came with Fed Chair Jerome Powell's much less-hawkish-than-feared remarks at the FOMC press conference, coupled with disappointing US employment figures. These developments led markets back to...