Weekly Report
A Whirlwind Week Leaves US Assets Reeling Amid Tariff Turmoil
It has been a brutally volatile week across global markets, driven by a whirlwind of US tariff implementations, abrupt reversals, and rapid retaliatons. Investors were left scrambling to make sense of the White House’s constantly shifting trade stance. We won’t attempt to recap every step of the tariff saga,...
Market Turmoil Unleashed as Global Tariff Battlelines Drawn
The global financial markets were shaken last week as US President Donald Trump’s long-anticipated reciprocal tariff plan arrived with a bang. The magnitude of the tariff rates, the number of countries impacted, and the sheer complexity of implementation shocked investors. What could have been a temporary setback quickly spiraled...
Markets Rush to Safe Haven as Tariff Clock Ticks Down
While US investors managed to stay relatively composed through most of last week, the calm cracked heading into the weekend. Stocks saw extended selloffs, Treasury yields dropped, and Gold surged to yet another record high — all classic signs of a decisive flight to safety. With risk appetite now...
Global Trends Hit Pause, Consolidations to Follow Until Trump’s Liberation Day
The dominant trends that shaped Q1 in global markets appear to have run their course, with most major assets entering consolidation phase last week.
US stocks staged a mild recovery from steep selloff since mid-February, but upside momentum was notably weak. Meanwhile, Dollar, which had been under pressure throughout March,...
Currency Markets Consolidate as Trader Start Repositioning for Tariff Battles in April
The past week in the currency markets was marked more by consolidation than decisive moves, even as risk aversion deepened in US stock markets. Dollar’s selloff slowed and turned into a modest recovery, but there was no clear momentum for bullish trend reversal. Sentiment remained fragile, weighed down by...
A Multi-Decade Trend Reversal Underway in EUR/USD?
The sharp contrast between Europe’s newfound unity and the ongoing tariff chaos in the US has been a defining theme in the financial markets. Euro’s extraordinary strength last week reflected growing investor confidence in the region’s strategic shift toward fiscal expansion and defense spending. From the formation of the...
Safe-Haven Demand Fuels Dollar Rally Amid Trade, Geopolitical Turmoil
Market sentiment took a decisive turn for the worse last week, with risk aversion dominating across asset classes. The combination of deteriorating domestic economic conditions in the US and heightened global uncertainties has fueled concerns that risk appetite could weaken further. Equities faced renewed selling pressure, yields dropped sharply.
Domestically,...
Risk Aversion Returns as US Tariff Fears Resurface, Dollar Recovers Late
Geopolitical developments dominated global headlines last week, particularly surrounding peace negotiations over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and evolving US-Ukraine relations. While US President Donald Trump’s tariffs took a backseat, concerns over their impact on consumer spending and economic growth resurfaced by the end of the week, triggering renewed risk...
Dollar at Crossroads: Rebound Possible, But Bearish Risks Intensify
Dollar closed the week broadly lower, with the only exception being its slight gains against the even weaker Yen. Risk-on sentiment dominated global markets, fueling strong rallies in equities across the US, Europe, and Hong Kong, which in turn kept the greenback under pressure.
The greenback had previously enjoyed a...
Dollar’s Wild Week Ends in Uncertainty, Awaits Next Tariff Cue
Dollar faced significant volatility last week as shifting trade policy signals from the White House left investors scrambling for clarity. Initially, tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports were imposed, only to be quickly suspended for 30 days following new agreements on border security and fentanyl control. Now, the focus...
Dollar Slumps as Risk-On Mood Prevails Under Trump’s First Week
Dollar ended the week as the worst-performing major currency, largely weighed down by strong risk-on sentiment that took hold after President Donald Trump’s first week in office. Investors had anticipated more aggressive trade measures from the new administration, but Trump instead struck a relatively softer tone on tariffs, leading...
Global Markets Look Beyond Trump’s Inauguration as Local Drivers Take the Lead
Global markets are buzzing in anticipation of Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20, yet the latest developments suggest investors may already be looking past the immediate impact. Despite speculation surrounding Trump’s policies—particularly tariffs—various benchmarks and asset classes are charting their own directions based on localized drivers and monetary policy...
Dollar Gains Momentum as Fed Cuts Come Into Question
The US markets last week were shaped by two dominant themes: uncertainty surrounding trade policies of the incoming US administration and the impact of robust US economic data. Initial market confusion, driven by ambiguous signals regarding tariffs, created significant volatility. However, this indecisiveness gave way to clarity as strong...
Dollar Starts Strong vs Europe, Sets Sights on Yen and Commodity Currencies Next
Dollar Index started the new year with a pronounced surge. Sterling, Euro, and Swiss Franc bore the brunt of this strength, reflecting the sluggish economic outlook in Europe and ongoing concerns about the impact of new US tariffs. Despite these gains, Dollar's performance against other currencies, including Yen and...
Dollar to Pause for Consolidation After Failing to Break Euro Resistance Post-Fed
The financial markets were jolted by Fed’s hawkish rate cut last week, sending ripples across stocks, bonds, currencies, precious metals, and even cryptocurrencies. Fed’s indication of prolonged restrictive monetary policy fueled risk aversion, pushing Dollar to end the week as the strongest performer in the currency markets, supported by...
Inflation Pressures and Yield Surge Anchor Dollar as Top Performer
Dollar ended as the strongest performer last week, boosted by a surge in U.S. Treasury yields following persistent inflation data. Despite expectations of another 25bps rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting, stubborn price pressures are likely to slow the pace of policy easing next year. Adding to the...
Trump Trade Roars Back, Dollar in Correction, Commodity Currencies Tumble
The resurgence of "Trump Trade" last week reignited optimism across financial markets, driving US stocks to fresh record highs and propelling Bitcoin past the critical 100k psychological level. Investors appeared largely unfazed by a slew of top-tier US economic data and the solidification of expectations for a 25bps Fed...
Euro Weakens Sharply, Sterling and Swiss Franc Also Under Pressure
Euro stole the limelight last week with a steep selloff triggered by poor activity data. This downturn has intensified the pressing need for the ECB to ease monetary policy swiftly back to neutral levels. While Euro's decline was pronounced, Sterling and the Swiss Franc are not far behind, each...
Dollar Reasserts Dominance on Fed Expectations and Risk Sentiment
Dollar regained its dominance in the currency markets last week, surging ahead despite US Treasury yields struggling to break through resistance levels. Investors continued to adjust their expectations for Fed's monetary policy, increasingly anticipating a slower pace of interest rate cuts with fewer adjustments in the coming year. This...
Dollar at Risk of Extended Correction as Election Volatility Fades
Significant volatility was seen in the global financial markets last week, driven by the highly anticipated US presidential election. Contrary to expectations of a tight contest, Donald Trump secured a comfortable victory over Kamala Harris, with the Republican Party also achieving a "Red Sweep" by taking control of both...