Market Overview

Dollar continues to dominate the currency markets this week, holding its position as the strongest performer as focus shifts to the upcoming non-farm payroll report from the US. Market reactions to this data will be crucial in shaping financial movements leading up to FOMC rate decision in November. If...

Sterling fell sharply today after BoE Governor Andrew Bailey surprised markets by suggesting the possibility of aggressive rate cuts in an interview with The Guardian. Market expectations quickly adjusted, with swaps now fully pricing in a 25bps cut in November. The odds of a second 25bps cut in December...

Dollar is gaining some traction, emerging as the strongest currency of the week so far. Several factors are underpinning this momentum. First, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has reaffirmed the expectation of two additional rate cuts this year, adhering to the script established in the latest dot plot. This stance...

Japanese Yen weakened notably in early US session, reacting to rising US Treasury yields, which were boosted by stronger-than-expected US ADP job data. Adding to Yen’s decline, Japan’s new Prime Minister, Shigeru Ishiba, who was initially perceived as a monetary hawk, has softened his stance on interest rate hikes....

Global markets are showing mixed performance as sentiment diverges across regions. In the US, stocks closed lower with traders displaying increased caution. ISM manufacturing report indicated continuation of the prolonged recession in the sector, though without any sharp deterioration. Attention is now focused on upcoming key economic data, including...

Euro declined broadly today after ECB Governing Council member Olli Rehn became the first official to openly indicate that risks are now tilted toward another rate cut in October. Additionally, data showed that Eurozone's headline CPI fell below the ECB's 2% target for the first time since 2021, even...

Dollar stabilized overnight and is attempting to regain ground following recent losses. The greenback found some support after Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks, where he indicated that Fed is in no rush to implement rapid rate cuts. This has reduced market expectations for a 50bps cut at the November...

Forex market activity was relatively subdued during European trading hours, with Euro recovering against both Sterling and Swiss Franc despite lower-than-expected inflation reading from Germany. However, the common currency continues to face resistance in breaking out of its range against Dollar. Markets will keep a close eye on ECB...

Asian financial markets are displaying significant divergence today. Japan's Nikkei index has plummeted over -4%, reacting sharply to the ruling Liberal Democratic Party's election results from last Friday. Shigeru Ishiba, the newly elected LDP leader and Japan's incoming Prime Minister, attempted to soften his previously hawkish stance on the...

Unexpected developments from Asia significantly influenced global financial markets last week. China's surprise stimulus measures invigorated investor sentiment, leading to substantial gains in Chinese and Hong Kong equities, as well as strengthening Chinese Yuan. This positive shift boosted commodity-linked currencies, with New Zealand Dollar and Australian Dollar emerging as...

Risk-on sentiment returned to global markets again in early US trading, driven by lower-than-expected inflation data. While annual PCE core inflation edged up to 2.7%, the monthly increase was a modest 0.1%. This tamer monthly inflation growth suggests that underlying price pressures would, at least, not obstruct Fed's to...

Risk-on sentiment continues to dominate global financial markets today, driven by widespread monetary easing and a significant boost from China’s latest stimulus measures. US equities finished strong overnight, with all major indexes posting gains. S&P 500 hit a fresh record for the third consecutive time this week. Meanwhile, Germany’s...

Swiss Franc remained relatively stable today following SNB's decision to cut its policy rate by 25bps, bringing it down to 1.00%. This move defied some market speculations that anticipated a larger 50bps reduction. Despite opting for a smaller cut, SNB issued a decidedly dovish statement, sharply downgrading its inflation...

Asian markets are maintaining a risk-on tone today, despite the lackluster US market performance overnight. Sentiment remains buoyed by China’s recent monetary stimulus measures, even as doubts linger about their overall effectiveness due to the absence of significant fiscal support. Nevertheless, stocks in Hong Kong and China continue to...

Euro is gaining broadly today, even though there is no major fundamental news driving its ascent. Market expectations are mounting that ECB may cut interest rates as early as October, with HSBC projecting 25bps cuts at every meeting from October through April 2025. This would bring the deposit rate...

Dollar continued its broad-based weakness in Asian session, with selling pressure shifting towards European majors. EUR/USD is approaching its August high as the near-term rebound gathers momentum. This decline in the Dollar is partly attributed to weaker-than-expected US consumer confidence data released overnight, which has intensified market expectations of...

The forex market continues to display a mild risk-on mood, with commodity-linked currencies Australian, New Zealand, and Canadian Dollars gaining ground. In contrast, safe-haven currencies Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc, and Dollar are under pressure. Australian Dollar jumps earlier today following RBA's decision to hold rates steady, combined with China's broad...

Australian Dollar surged broadly today following RBA's decision to leave interest rates unchanged at 4.35%, as widely expected. What caught the market's attention was RBA's continued focus on inflation risks, making it clear that the central bank is not considering a rate cut anytime soon. During the post-meeting press...

Euro took a sharp dive today following disappointing PMI data that fueled fresh speculation about ECB potentially moving up its anticipated rate cut. Markets had been bracing for a December cut, timed with the release of new economic forecasts. However, the mounting risks of stagnation and even recession in...

Australian Dollar managed to climb modestly in a quiet Asian trading session today, despite underwhelming PMI data from Australia. With Japan on holiday, the session saw limited movement, but risk-on sentiment helped offset some of the negative impact from the weak data. In contrast, Yen and Swiss Franc extended...