Market Overview
Dollar Higher on Hawkish Fed, Euro Dragged Down by Italy
Dollar rose broadly last week as markets received Fed's hawkish rate hike rather week, despite initial hesitation. However, the greenback was just the second strongest, overshadowed by Canadian Dollar. Stronger than expected GDP data from Canada solidify the case of October hike by BoC. Furthermore comments by BoC Governor...
Euro Selloff Intensifies as Markets Response to Italy Budget Deficit Overwhelmingly Negative
A long list of economic data are released today. But the main focus is on Italy. The coalition government's decision to target budget deficit at 2.4% of GDP for the next three years drew heavy criticism from EU. Also, financial market reactions are overwhelmingly negative. European stocks decoupled from...
Dollar Rally Continues as Focus Turns to PCE Inflation
The case for bullishness in Dollar continued to build up with yesterday's rally. The greenback is now the strongest one for the week followed by Sterling. In particular, USD/JPY's firm break of 113.17 resistance confirmed larger up trend resumption. Now, GBP/USD is the only one who's yet to break...
Dollar Extends Post FOMC Broad Based Rally, Euro Lower on Italy Budget Jitter
Dollar strengthens further and broadly, in early US session as post FOMC rally extends. As we aruged in prior report, there were hawkish elements in Fed's projections and overall announcement should be Dollar positive. Today's rally showed that this view is shared by other participants. In particular, EUR/USD's break...
Dollar Rebounded from Knee-Jerk Selloff as Fed is More Hawkish than Initial Perceived
Dollar suffered a brief knee-jerk selloff after Fed raised interest rate as widely expected but stopped calling monetary policy as accommodative. But the greenback recovered as the overall announcement wasn't dovish at all. There were indeed more hawkish elements in the details of the new economic projections. For now,...
Dollar Rises as FOMC Awaited, But No Technical Level Broken Yet
Dollar firms up broadly in early US session as markets are awaiting FOMC rate decision. A 25bps hike is widely expected and there is no change for Fed to disappoint. The tricky part is the new economic projections which could make or break Dollar' rebound. At the time of...
Australian Dollar Boosted by Chinese Stocks, Dollar Still Lacks Buying ahead of FOMC
Australian Dollar rises broadly today as boosted by strong rally in Chinese stocks. The Shanghai SSE composite is pushed through 2800 psychological level on news that MSCI is considering increasing A shares weighting significantly. Nonetheless, Aussie is out-performed by New Zealand Dollar for now, on strong rebound in business...
Swiss Franc Selloff Extends on Surging German Yield
Swiss Franc weakness is the main theme in rather directionless markets today. In particular, EUR/CHF is leading the way higher on expectation of policy divergence between ECB and SNB. Also, the need for safe haven diminished much after situations in Turkey and Italy stabilized for a while. Funds are...
Dollar Regains Bullish Momentum after Brief Set Back, Swiss Franc Pressured
Dollar suffered brief set back overnight as Euro attempted for a rally. But the greenback quickly found its footing and it's trading as the strongest one in Asian session today. In particular USD/CHF took out 0.9651 resistance, which is taken as a signal of near term reversal. It remains...
Sterling Recovers Broadly But Risks Stay on the Downside, Dollar Losing Some Steam
Sterling pares back some of last week's loss and is trading as the strongest one for today so far. There were lot of comments on Brexit from both sides. In particular, UK Brexit Minister Dominic Raab tried to talk down the disagreement from EU. But the messages from the...
Dollar Mildly Higher after US-China Trade Talk Cancelled
Asian markets open quietly with Japan and China on holiday. The tone is mixed as new round of US-China tariffs take effects today. At the time of writing, Dollar, Sterling and Yen are firmer ones. Commodity currencies are the weaker ones led by Aussie. A more notable move is...
Dollar and US Yields at Critical Levels, Fate on Fed’s Hands
Yen ended last week as the weakest one as the global markets were in full risk on mode. DOW finally made a new record high, together with S&P 500 and the strength is not limited to the US. Nikkei closed up 3.36% and is now very close to 24129.34...
Dollar Paring Losses after a Long Losing Weak, Sterling Tumbles on the Pathetic Chequers Plan
Swiss Franc is trading as the strongest major currency today, but it's now followed by Dollar as the second weakest, who's paring some of the steep losses this week. Sterling is the weakest one after Prime Minister Theresa May's Chequers Brexit proposals were rejected by the EU. And May...
Yen Selloff Accelerates, Dollar at Critical Juncture
The markets are now in full risk-seeking mode. DOW jumped 0.95% to record high at 26656.98 overnight. S&P also made new record at 2930.75, up 0.78%. The sentiments carried forward to Asian session with Nikkei up 1.13%, Hong Kong HSI up 1.20%, China Shanghai SSE up 1.71% and Singapore...
Dollar in Free Fall, EUR/USD and GBP/USD Pressing Key Fibonacci Levels
Dollar's selloff accelerates entering into US session today and drags down the Japanese Yen too. Strong employment data may halt the greenback's decline temporary. But it's definitely not enough to trigger a reversal. EUR/USD and GBP/USD are in proximity to key fibonacci level at 1.1779 and 1.3316 respectively. These...
New Zealand Dollar Surges on Strong GDP, Markets Mixed Elsewhere
New Zealand Dollar is the strongest one in the currency markets today, as boosted by fastest GDP growth in two years. Otherwise, the markets are rather mixed. Australian and Canadian Dollar turned softer and are trading as the weakest ones together with Swiss Franc. Yen regains some growths, followed...
UK PM May Rocks Sterling’s Boat, Swiss Franc Pressured on Risk Appetite and Yields
Sterling suffered a lot of volatility today. It surged on stronger than expected consumer inflation data, but then reversed on news that UK Prime Minister Theresa May's rejection of EU's Irish border proposal. The Pound sort of stabilized then as markets await what May is going to say exactly...
Yen Dives on Strong Rally in US Treasury Yields, Trade War Ignored
Trade war escalations continue to be ignored by the markets in general. Dollar and Yen are staying as the weakest ones today. In particular, Yen is pressured additionally by sharp rally in US treasury yields over night. BoJ's announcement to stand pat on monetary policy triggered little reactions to...
Business Back to Usual after Trade War Escalation, Show Time for Euro or Aussie?
This time, the escalation of US-China trade war is largely ignored by the financial markets. There were just some very brief knee jerk reaction in stock and the currency markets. Yen and Dollar are both back under pressure after initial rebound. On the other hand, Australian Dollar looks immune...
US-China Trade War Escalated with New Round of Tariffs Formalized, But Market Reactions Muted
The new round of tariffs on China's imports to the US was finally formalized. Dollar got a brief lift but there was no further buying. The impacts on the markets quick faded and what's next will depend on China's counter-measures, which were already spelled out long ago. In the...