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Market Overview

Dollar Recover Mildly ahead of FOMC Minutes, Sterling Pares Gains

Dollar and Yen recover mildly today but remains the two weakest for the week. For now, there is little news regarding the US-China trade talks in Washington. Focus will turn to minutes of January 29/30 FOMC meeting first. There Fed made a drastic turn and declare it will be...

Dollar Turning Bearish on Fed Outlook and Yield Curve Inversion

Dollar was sold off broadly overnight, as dragged down by falling treasury yields. Also, recent comments from Fed officials continued to affirm the "patient" monetary policy stance. While the greenback is trying to recover in Asian session today, there is no clear follow through buying. The greenback will look...

Dollar Jumps as World Trade Outlook Worsened, Sterling Even Stronger

Sterling surges broadly in European session and it's trading as the strongest one for today so far. There is some support by slightly better than expected wage growth. Also, there could be some buying on expectation for the parliament to take over control on Brexit at a later stage,...

Dollar & Yen Recover as Markets Turn Cautious, US-China Trade Talks Resume Today

Dollar and Yen trade generally higher today as Asian markets turned mixed. The strong rally in Asian stocks yesterday was based on optimism on US-China trade negotiation. But such optimism has quickly turn into cautiousness. Another round of negotiation will start in Washington today, followed by high-level meeting later...

Euro and Sterling Strong for Today, But No Key Resistance Broken

Yen and Dollar are pressured for the whole day, and remain so in early US session. Risk appetite in Asian markets was boosted by optimism over US-China trade talks. There is hope that the meetings in Washington this week will eventually yield a memorandum of understanding of some sort,...

Asian Markets Boosted by Trade Optimism Again, Yen Broadly Lower

Yen remains the weakest one as another week starts with solid risk appetite. Sentiments towards US-China trade negotiation turned optimistic again after positive statements from both sides. Trump also hailed there were "big progress" during last week's meetings in Beijing. More talks are scheduled this week in Washington to...

Risk Appetite Boosted by Unknown Progress in US-China Trade Negotiation, More Talks Ahead

Trade talk optimism, trade pessimism, drove markets up and down last week. In the end, Presidents of US and China decided to give markets some lip service and boosted stocks towards weekly close. Words, rather than substance, are enough to make investors happy. Yen and Swiss Franc ended as...

US-China Trade Talks to Continue Next Week, Sentiments Lifted

Risk appetite seems to be given a lift again by words regarding US-China trade negotiations. There seems to be some consensuses and progress made even thought it's unsure what they exactly are. Nevertheless, at least, trade talks will resume next week in Washington, which is a positive sign. Yen...

Yen Strikes Back and Investors Dissatisfied With Lack of Trade Talk Progress

Yen is making a strong come back today and surges broadly. Investors are clearly unhappy with the lack of concrete progress with US-China trade negotiations. Sterling follows as the second strongest but it's just recovering some of this week's losses. Never-ending Brexit uncertainty is weighing on the Pound. Dollar...

Dollar Dives as Retail Sales Dropped Most in 9-Years, But GBP and CAD Even Worse

Dollar suffers steep selloff in early US session after shockingly poor retail sales data. The release of December's sales was delayed due to government shutdown. And we've finally got some clues on how bad the US economy performed on double whammy on shutdown and trade war. Nevertheless, for now,...

Japan & Germany Avoided Recession, Trade Talk Optimism, Yen Pressured

Australian and New Zealand Dollar are the strongest ones for today so far as the forex markets seem to be cheering positive developments in US-China trade negotiations. The idea of 60-day extension to trade truce is certainly welcomed given the complexity in the deal, in particular enforcement. Data from...

Dollar Trying to Rebound on CPI, Risk Appetite Continues

Strong risk appetite remains the main theme for today on trade optimism. Though, Dollar is trying to steal the show in early US session with stronger than expected inflation data. For now, Yen remains the weakest one for today. Euro follows as weighed down by poor industrial production data,...

Yen & Dollar Tumbles on US-China Trade Optimism, Kiwi Surges on RBNZ

Strong risk appetite dominates the financial markets today. Investors are getting more optimistic on US-China trade negotiations, with another round of talks happening in Beijing now. Both sides seem to express more desire to make a deal. Trump hinted that he's willing to let the March 1 trade truce...

Risk Appetite Extends, Swiss Franc Decline Accelerates

Swiss Franc is overwhelmingly the weakest one today with fresh selling in early US session. While Japanese Yen is also weak, it's a relatively distant second. Both are pressured by extended rebound in global stocks. Meanwhile, additional pressure is seen on Franc from strong rebound in oil prices and...

Dollar Paring Gains, Focus Turns Back from Government Shutdown to Trade Talks

Dollar is paring some gains today after yesterday's rally, but remains the strongest one for the week. A temporary agreement was reached in the US Congress to avert another government shut down. Focus is turning back to trade negotiation with China in Beijing. There is little news regarding the...

Dollar Surges Against Yen and Swiss as US-China Trade Talks Resume

Yen and Swiss Franc are trading broadly lower today thanks to rebound in global equities. Fresh selling is seen on news that White House senior counselor Kellyanne Conway said Trump may still meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in the near future. And she said that it looks like US...

Sterling Soft as GDP, Productions and Trade Balance Awaited

Sterling is trading generally soft today, except versus Yen, as market focus turns to UK data. GDP, productions and trade balance will be featured. BoE just downgraded both growth and inflation forecasts last week, based on assumption on smooth Brexit. The Pound would be vulnerable to another round of...

Dollar Emerged as Strongest in a Bad Batch on Global Slowdown Worries

Dollar ended last week as the strongest ones, mainly due to weakness elsewhere. Worries of global slowdown, or even recession, sent Germany and Japanese stocks sharply lower. Global treasury yields also tumbled on safe haven demand. Adding to that, renewed concern over re-escalation of US-China trade war also weighed...

Canadian Dollar Jumps on Job Data, Risk Aversion Dominates on Trade War Worries

Risk aversion is the main theme in the financial markets today. Worries over US-China trade tension escalation resurfaced after Trump said he will not meeting Chinese President Xi this month. This came despite Trump's schedule to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un on February 27-28 in Vietnam, just next...

Yen Rises as Trade War Concern Resurfaces, RBA Hammers Aussie Again

Global markets are in mild risk averse mode on concerns over US-China trade talk. That came after Trump said he will not meet Chinese President Xi this month to complete the trade agreement. Yen and Swiss Franc are trading as the stronger ones, as lifted by falling treasury yields...