USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.77; (P) 141.51; (R1) 142.86; More…

USD/JPY retreated ahead of 142.45 minor resistance and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 142.45 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 143.34) and above. However, break of 139.63 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 137.66. Break there will resume the decline from 151.93, to 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.28).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.77; (P) 141.51; (R1) 142.86; More…

USD/JPY is still bounded in range of 137.66/142.45 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 137.66 will resume the decline from 151.93, to 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend. Nevertheless, firm break of 142.45 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 143.34) and above.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.28).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.84; (P) 140.17; (R1) 140.70; More…

USD/JPY is staying below 142.45 minor resistance despite today’s strong recovery. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment, and further decline is in favor. On the downside, break of 137.66 will resume the decline from 151.93, to 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend. Nevertheless, firm break of 142.45 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 143.44) and above.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.28).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.84; (P) 140.17; (R1) 140.70; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment as consolidations from 137.66 is extending. Further decline is in favor as long as 142.45 minor resistance holds. On the downside, break of 137.66 will resume the decline from 151.93, to 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend. Nevertheless, firm break of 142.45 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 143.44) and above.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.28).

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY edged lower to 137.66 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations. Upside should be limited below 145.16 support turned resistance. On the downside, break of 137.66 will resume the decline from 151.93, to 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.58).

In the long term picture, rise from 102.58, as part of the up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) was put to a halt at 151.93, just ahead of 100% projection of 75.56 to 125.85 from 102.58 at 152.87. There is no clear sign of long term reversal yet. Such up trend is expected to resume at a later stage, as long as 125.85 resistance turned support holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.15; (P) 139.95; (R1) 141.01; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 137.66 temporary low is still in progress. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited below 145.16 support turned resistance. On the downside, break of 137.66 will resume the decline from 151.93, to 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.58).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.15; (P) 139.95; (R1) 141.01; More…

USD/JPY is staying in consolidation above 137.66 temporary low and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. Stronger rise cannot be ruled out, but upside should be limited below 145.16 support turned resistance. Break of 137.66 will resume the decline from 151.93, to 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.58).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.74; (P) 139.52; (R1) 140.30; More…

USD/JPY’s consolidation from 137.66 is extending and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Stronger rise cannot be ruled out, but upside should be limited below 145.16 support turned resistance. Break of 137.66 will resume the decline from 151.93, to 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.58).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.74; (P) 139.52; (R1) 140.30; More…

USD/JPY is staying in consolidation above 137.66 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. Stronger rise cannot be ruled out, but upside should be limited below 145.16 support turned resistance. Break of 137.66 will resume the decline from 151.93, to 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.58).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.80; (P) 139.20; (R1) 140.73; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral for consolidation above 137.66 temporary low. Stronger rise cannot be ruled out, but upside should be limited below 145.16 support turned resistance. Break of 137.66 will resume the decline from 151.93, to 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.58).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.80; (P) 139.20; (R1) 140.73; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral again with current recovery. Stronger rise cannot be ruled out, but upside should be limited below 145.16 support turned resistance. Break of 137.66 will resume the decline from 151.93, to 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.58).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.89; (P) 139.84; (R1) 140.88; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 151.93 resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current decline should target 133.07 fibonacci level, as a correction to the larger up trend. On the upside, above 140.79 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.58).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.89; (P) 139.84; (R1) 140.88; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral for consolidation above 138.45 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited below 145.54 support turned resistance and bring another fall. Break of 138.45 will resume the decline from 151.93, as a correction to the larger up trend, towards 133.07 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.58).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.34; (P) 139.91; (R1) 141.35; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY Is turned neutral with current recovery, and some consolidations could be seen. But upside should be limited below 145.54 support turned resistance and bring another fall. Break of 138.45 will resume the decline from 151.93, as a correction to the larger up trend, towards 133.07 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.58).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.34; (P) 139.91; (R1) 141.35; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the downside at this point. Deeper fall would be seen to 161.8% projection of 151.93 to 145.53 from 146.78 at 136.42 next On the upside, above 142.47 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 145.53 support turned resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.58).

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s decline accelerated to as low as 138.76 last week. The development suggests that it’s already in correction to whole up trend from 102.58. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 161.8% projection of 151.93 to 145.53 from 146.78 at 136.42. On the upside, above 142.47 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 145.53 support turned resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.73).

In the long term picture, rise from 102.58, as part of the up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) was put to a halt at 151.93, just ahead of 100% projection of 75.56 to 125.85 from 102.58 at 152.87. There is no clear sign of long term reversal yet. Such up trend is expected to resume at a later stage, as long as 125.85 resistance turned support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.58; (P) 142.59; (R1) 144.96; More…

USD/JPY’s correction from 151.93 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Next target is 161.8% projection of 151.93 to 145.53 from 146.78 at 136.42. On the upside, above 143.86 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staying another fall.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be formed at 151.93. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. It’s too early to call for bearish trend reversal. But even as a corrective move, such decline should target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 133.07, or further to 55 week EMA (now at 130.73).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.45; (P) 146.12; (R1) 147.07; More…

USD/JPY’s decline from 151.93 accelerated lower today Break of 38.2% retracement of 130.38 to 151.93 at 143.69 argues that fall form 151.93 is correcting larger up trend. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 130.38/139.37 support zone. On the other hand, strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 146.78 resistance, will indicate that such correction has completed, and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 144.44) will argue that 151.93 is a medium term top. Fall from there is correcting larger up trend from 102.58. While it’s too early to call for trend reversal, deeper decline would then be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 130.73).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.45; (P) 146.12; (R1) 147.07; More…

Outlook in USD/JPY remains unchanged as consolidation from 151.93 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays neutral. Deeper decline might be seen but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 130.38 to 151.93 at 143.69 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 148.84 minor resistance will bring stronger rebound back towards 151.93 high. But upside should be limited there to continue the corrective pattern.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 101.18 is still in progress, as part of the whole up trend from 75.56 (2011 low). 147.68 (1998 high) was already met and there is no clearly sign of topping yet. In any case, break of 140.33 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, further rise is in favor to next target at 160.16 (1990 high).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.01; (P) 145.97; (R1) 146.64; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral as consolidation from 151.93 is extending. Deeper decline might be seen but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 130.38 to 151.93 at 143.69 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 148.84 minor resistance will bring stronger rebound back towards 151.93 high. But upside should be limited there to continue the corrective pattern.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 101.18 is still in progress, as part of the whole up trend from 75.56 (2011 low). 147.68 (1998 high) was already met and there is no clearly sign of topping yet. In any case, break of 140.33 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, further rise is in favor to next target at 160.16 (1990 high).