USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.27; (P) 110.50; (R1) 110.69; More…

USD/JPY’s decline accelerates to as low as 109.27 and intraday bias remains on the downside. Fall from 114.36 is expected to extend to retest 108.12 low first. Also whole decline from 118.65 is seen as a correction and is still in progress. Break of 108.12 will target 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. We’ll look for bottoming signal around 106.48. On the upside, above 110.23 support turned resistance will turn bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 111.70 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.27; (P) 110.50; (R1) 110.69; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 114.36 resumes by taking out 110.23 support an reaches as low as 109.65 so far. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 108.12 support next. Whole decline from 118.65 is seen as a correction and is still in progress. Break of 108.12 will target 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. We’ll look for bottoming signal around 106.48. On the upside, above 110.72 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 111.70 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.93; (P) 110.81; (R1) 111.31; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral cautiously on the downside with focus on 110.23 support. Break there will resume the decline from 114.36. In such case, deeper fall should be seen to 108.12 and below. Whole decline from 118.65 is seen as a correction and is still in progress. We’ll look for bottoming signal at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48 as the correction extends. Meanwhile, above 111.70 will turn intraday bias back to the upside. But we’d expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 114.36 to 110.23 at 112.78 to limit upside and bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.93; (P) 110.81; (R1) 111.31; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral cautiously on the downside with focus on 110.23. Break there will resume the fall from 114.36. In such case, deeper fall should be seen to 108.12 and below. Whole decline from 118.65 is seen as a correction and is still in progress. We’ll look for bottoming signal at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48 as the correction extends. Meanwhile, above 111.70 will turn intraday bias back to the upside. But we’d expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 114.36 to 110.23 at 112.78 to limit upside and bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY recovered ahead of 110.23 last week as consolidation from there extended. But it was rejected by 55 day EMA and dropped sharply to close at 110.36. Initial bias is cautiously on the downside this week. Break of 110.23 will resume the fall from 114.36. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 108.12 and below. Whole decline from 118.65 is seen as a correction and is still in progress. We’ll look for bottoming signal at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48 as the correction extends. Meanwhile, above 111.70 will turn intraday bias back to the upside. But we’d expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 114.36 to 110.23 at 112.78 to limit upside and bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 long term bottom to 125.85 medium term top is viewed as an impulsive move. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective move which could still extend. But, up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

USD/JPY 4 Hours Chart

USD/JPY Daily Chart

USD/JPY Weekly Chart

USD/JPY Monthly Chart

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.83; (P) 111.15; (R1) 111.69; More…

USD/JPY drops sharply in early US session but it’s staying in range above 110.23 and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidation cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 114.36 to 110.23 at 112.78 to bring fall resumption. Below 110.23 will turn bias to the downside and will likely resume the fall from 118.65 through 108.12 low. As fall from 118.65 is seen as a correction, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. However, sustained break of 112.78 will turn focus back to 114.36 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.83; (P) 111.15; (R1) 111.69; More…

USD/JPY’s consolidation from 110.23 is extending with another rise and intraday bias stays neutral first. Break of 112.12 might be seen but upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 114.36 to 110.23 at 112.78 to bring fall resumption. Below 110.23 will turn bias to the downside and will likely resume the fall from 118.65 through 108.12 low. At fall from 118.65 is seen as a correction, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. However, sustained break of 112.78 will turn focus back to 114.36 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.41; (P) 110.82; (R1) 111.16; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral as the consolidation from 110.23 should be extending with another rise. Further rebound might be seen to 112.12. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 114.36 to 110.23 at 112.78 to bring fall resumption. Below 110.23 will turn bias to the downside and will likely resume the fall from 118.65 through 108.12 low. At fall from 118.65 is seen as a correction, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. However, sustained break of 112.78 will turn focus back to 114.36 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.41; (P) 110.82; (R1) 111.16; More…

With 111.46 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the downside for 110.23 support. Break will resume the fall from 114.36 to 108.12 and below. Note again that decline from 118.65 is seen as a correction. In that bearish case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. On the upside, above 111.46 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.56; (P) 110.93; (R1) 111.22; More…

With 111.46 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the downside for 110.23 support. Break will resume the fall from 114.36 to 108.12 and below. Note again that decline from 118.65 is seen as a correction. In that bearish case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. On the upside, above 111.46 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.56; (P) 110.93; (R1) 111.22; More…

At this point, intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the downside for 110.23. Break will resume the fall from 114.36 to 108.12 and below. Note again that decline from 118.65 is seen as a correction. In that bearish case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. On the upside, above 111.46 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.10; (P) 111.28; (R1) 111.44; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the downside for 110.23. Break will resume the fall from 114.36 to 108.12 and below. . Note again that decline from 118.65 is seen as a correction. In that bearish case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. On the upside, above 111.46 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.10; (P) 111.28; (R1) 111.44; More…

Breach of 110.85 minor support argues that USD/JPY’s recovery from 110.23 is finished at 112.12, after failing to sustain above 4 hour 55 EMA and 55 day EMA. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside to 110.23 first. Break will extend the fall from 114.36 to 108.12 low and below. Note again that decline from 118.65 is seen as a correction. In that bearish case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. On the upside, above 111.46 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.84; (P) 111.34; (R1) 111.82; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point. Rise from 110.23 is seen as a correction and the larger fall is expected to resume later. On the downside, below 110.85 minor support will turn bias to the downside to extend the fall from 114.36 to 108.12 low. Break there will resume the whole decline from 118.65. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY stayed in consolidation from 110.23 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, below 110.85 minor support will turn bias to the downside to extend the fall from 114.36 to 108.12 low. Break there will resume the whole decline from 118.65. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 long term bottom to 125.85 medium term top is viewed as an impulsive move. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective move which could still extend. But, up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

USD/JPY 4 Hours Chart

USD/JPY Daily Chart

USD/JPY Weekly Chart

USD/JPY Monthly Chart

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.54; (P) 111.74; (R1) 112.02; More…

USD/JPY was rejected from 4 hour 55 EMA but it’s staying above 110.85 minor support for the moment. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Rise from 110.23 is seen as a correction and the larger fall is expected to resume later. On the downside, below 110.85 minor support will turn bias to the downside to extend the fall from 114.36 to 108.12 low. Break there will resume the whole decline from 118.65. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.54; (P) 111.74; (R1) 112.02; More…

No change in USD/JPY’s outlook. The corrective price actions from 110.23 could still extend. But after al, it’s a correction and the larger fall is expected to resume later. On the downside, below 110.85 minor support will turn bias to the downside to extend the fall from 114.36 to 108.12 low. Break there will resume the whole decline from 118.65. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.26; (P) 111.69; (R1) 111.92; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. The rebound from 110.23 is still seen as a correction even though it might extend. On the downside, below 110.85 minor support will turn bias to the downside to extend the fall from 114.36 to 108.12 low. Break there will resume the whole decline from 118.65. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.26; (P) 111.69; (R1) 111.92; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. The rebound from 110.23 is still seen as a correction even though it might extend. On the downside, below 110.85 minor support will turn bias to the downside to extend the fall from 114.36 to 108.12 low. Break there will resume the whole decline from 118.65. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.14; (P) 111.49; (R1) 112.13; More…

No change in USD/JPY’s outlook as the rebound from 110.23 might extend higher. But it’s still seen as a corrective move. Below 110.85 minor support will turn bias to the downside to extend the fall from 114.36 to 108.12 low. Break there will resume the whole decline from 118.65. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.