NZD Tumbles on RBNZ Rate Cut Hints; Markets Largely Ignore Fed’s Powell
New Zealand Dollar plunged sharply after RBNZ's more dovish than expected statement caught the market off guard. RBNZ's indication of potential future rate cuts was unexpected, even though it's not a hint on an imminent move.
The central bank's timing of this shift in tone is puzzling, as Q2 CPI...
Markets Await Fed Powell’s Insights, RBNZ on Deck
As US session kicks off, Dollar is trading mildly higher, with traders eagerly anticipating Fed Chair Jerome Powell's two-day semiannual testimony before Congress. The key questions looming over the markets are whether the Fed will initiate interest rate cuts in September and if there will be a total of...
Dollar Recovers Ahead of Powell’s Testimony; Market Awaits Clues on Rate Cuts
Dollar is recovering mildly overnight, as traders prepare for Fed Chair Jerome Powell's highly anticipated two-day Congressional testimony. Powell is scheduled to address the Senate today and the House tomorrow. Fed's latest dot plot suggests median expectation of just one rate cut this year. However, recent soft economic data...
Pound Gains on Hawkish BoE Remarks; Euro Regains Lost Ground
Sterling strengthened broadly today, support by comments from Jonathan Haskel, a known hawk on BoE's MPC. Haskel indicated his preference to maintain interest rates until there is clear evidence that inflationary pressures have subsided sustainably. This stance has introduced some uncertainty regarding the widely anticipated BoE rate cut in...
Euro Edges Down Following Left-Wing Triumph in French Elections
Euro dips mildly a in Asian session after French parliamentary elections on Sunday delivered unexpected results. The markets had anticipated a challenging outcome for centrist President Emmanuel Macron, including a hung parliament. Yet, the outcome was particularly surprising for Marine Le Pen's National Rally. Despite being a frontrunner, her...
Pound Outshines as Dollar Sinks, Yen Stabilizing
The past week marked a significant downturn for Dollar, which found itself at the bottom of the currency performance chart. A slew of unfavorable economic reports has highlighted the tangible effects of sustained high interest rates on the American economy, fostering a growing consensus that Fed may begin to...
NFP Revisions Hits Dollar; But September Fed Cut Still Uncertain
Dollar weakened broadly after the release of the US Non-Farm Payroll report, though the initial selloff was far from decisive. June's employment data showcased a robust labor market with near-average job and solid earnings growth , coupled with just a slight uptick in unemployment rate. However, significant downward revisions...
Dollar Under Pressure Ahead of NFP Data; Sterling Strengthens with Labour Victory
Dollar's broad-based decline continues in Asian session today as market attention shifts to the highly anticipated US Non-Farm Payroll data. Traders are eager to see a weak report on job and wage growth to reinforce the expectation that the Fed will initiate a rate cut in September. If these...
Dollar’s Decline Slows as Selling Momentum Eases
Dollar remains subdued today, but selling momentum has turned weak. With US markets closed for the holiday, trading activity is expected to be light. Meanwhile, traders are also gearing up for tomorrow's key US non-farm payroll data, which will be crucial. Further cooling in the job market and wage...
Dollar Down on Fed Cut Bets, Eyes on Swiss CPI
Dollar faced significant selloff overnight as market participants ramped up bets on a September rate cut by Fed. This shift in sentiment propelled S&P 500 and NASDAQ to record highs too. However, the greenback managed to stabilize in Asian session as the forex markets quieted down in observance of...
Dollar Weakens Against European Majors Ahead of Key Economic and Political Events
Dollar weakens notably against European majors in early US session, partially due to worse-than-expected ADP private job data. However, the primary reason seems to be traders becoming cautious ahead of several key events this week, including UK general elections, US non-farm payroll report, and French parliamentary elections. Traders are...
Yen Falls Again: How Much Lower Could It Go?
Yen's renewed selloff captured some attention in the otherwise subdued Asian session today. With no new comments from Japanese authorities, market participants are left to speculate on when and where the next intervention might occur. A pivotal moment on the horizon is BoJ's meeting on July 31, where the...
Dollar Struggles to Keep Momentum in Indecisive Markets
In the forex market, clear weakness of Yen, Swiss Franc, and Kiwi contrasts with a broader sense of indecision elsewhere. Dollar's rally attempt quickly lost momentum as it struggled to break through near-term resistance levels against both the Euro and Sterling. Additionally, the greenback remains stuck within familiar ranges...
Dollar Rallies as Treasury Yields Surge With Trump’s Election Prospects
Dollar surged across the board overnight and stayed firm in Asian session, fueled by the strong rally in benchmark US Treasury yields. This rally is partly attributed to rising expectations of a Donald Trump victory in the upcoming presidential election. Analysts suggest that a Trump win would likely lead...
Euro Rebound Stalls as Sterling and Dollar Mount a Comeback
Euro has seen a notable rebound as the new week commenced, though the lack of follow-through buying momentum is evident. The initial results from French parliamentary elections were not as dire as investors had feared. The far-right National Rally's victory was not as overwhelming as anticipated. However, significant uncertainty...
Euro Rebounds on French Election Relief; Market Eyes Central Bank Minutes and Key Data
Euro is staging a solid rebound today, with investors feeling somewhat reassured by the preliminary results of French parliamentary elections. While the far-right National Rally made significant gains with approximately 34% of votes in the first round, this is insufficient for an outright majority in the second round scheduled...
Yen Hits Multi-Decade Lows, Euro Bounces Back, Dollar Remains Indecisive
Yen remained in the spotlight last week, dominating headlines even as some significant global inflation data also moved markets. The Japanese currency continued its downtrend, reaching multi-decade lows. Despite the prolonged decline, Japanese authorities refrained from intervening directly in the markets. However, the looming threat of intervention kept traders...
Dollar Dips Slightly on PCE Core, But Overall Market Reactions Subdued
Dollar dips slightly in early US session, following the release of May's PCE core inflation data. This Fed's preferred measure of inflation indicated a continued, though modest, progress in disinflation. However, the financial market's response to the report was overall relatively muted, as the figures aligned closely with expectations.
While...
Dollar Gains Traction Ahead of Key Inflation Data, Yen Struggles Despite Stronger Tokyo CPI
Dollar is showing renewed strength in Asian session, particularly against commodity currencies. Market reactions to the televised debate between US President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump have been muted, with traders shifting their focus to upcoming inflation data.
Both headline and core PCE inflation are expected to dip...
Dollar Weakens after Mixed Data, Traders Turn Cautious
Dollar weakens broadly weakening in the early US session following the release of a batch of economic data. Durable goods orders presented a mixed bag. Concurrently, continuing claims for unemployment benefits rose to their highest level in more than two-and-a-half years. Despite these indicators, there is no immediate cause...