Aussie Tumbles after Job Data, Dollar Extending Rally
Dollar stays generally firm in Asian session, following the post CPI rally overnight. Yen is some what helped by the selloff in stock markets despite rebound in US yields, and remains firm except versus the greenback. On the other hand, Australian Dollar tumbles sharply following much worse than expected...
Dollar Rises as US CPI Jumped Sharply Again
Dollar rises sharply in early US session after much stronger than expected consumer inflation data, which hit multi-decade high. For now, New Zealand Dollar is the worst performer today, followed by Sterling and then Euro. Yen is retreating against the greenback but stays steady against others.
Technically, despite notable rally,...
Yen Staying in Driving Seat With Falling Yields and Mild Risk-Off Sentiment
Falling global yields and mild risk off sentiment continue to boost Japanese Yen. On the other hand, Australian Dollar is leading other commodity currencies lower. But the forex markets are mixed elsewhere for now. Dollar and European majors are stuck in near term ranges against each other. Eyes will...
Gold Remains Firm in Near-term as Central Banks Downplayed Rate Hike Expectations
Gold price consolidates at the highest level in 2 months. Its recent rally has been driven by major banks’ attempt to tame rate hike expectations. We expect its strength to remain in the near-term. However, elevated inflation would eventually force central banks to reduce monetary stimulus and increase the...
Euro Shrugs Improve German Sentiment, Yen Stays Firm
Yen stays general firm after earlier rally today, and Dollar is following. Euro shrugs off better than expected German economic sentiment data. Sterling and Swiss Franc are mixed. Australian and New Zealand Dollar are currently the weakest. Gold is firm but there is no follow through buying through 1833.79...
Yen Resumes Rally, Gold Eyeing Key Resistance
Yen's rally resumes today while overall market sentiments are mixed. Asian stocks are treading water but US benchmark yield takes another dive. Swiss Franc is following as the second strongest for now. On the other hand, commodity currencies are trading broadly lower, as led by Aussie. Euro and Sterling...
Euro Supported by Improving Investor Confidence; USD, JPY and CHF Mildly Lower
Dollar, Yen and Swiss Franc turned slightly weaker in quiet markets today. Euro is supported by better than expected investor sentiment data, while Sterling also recovers. New Zealand Dollar is also trading higher but Australian and Canadian Dollar are lagging behind. Gold is back above 1800 handle but has...
China’s Trader Surplus Soared to Record High. 32 countries Scrapped Preferential Treatment amidst China’s Twisting of Trade Rules
China’s trade surplus soared to a record high of US$84.54B in October. Exports rose +27.1% y/y in October, down from +28.1% a month ago but exceeded consensus of +22.8%. Imports accelerated to +20.6% y/y from +17.6% in September. This, however, missed consensus of +26.2%.
Concerning exports, shipment to EU jumped...
Yen Retreating in Quite Markets, But More Upside Still Likely
The financial markets are rather quiet today. Commodity currencies are paring back some of last week's losses while Yen is retreating. But there is no change in the overall outlook, with the decline in Yen crosses more likely to continue than not. Trading could remain subdued first in European...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Profit Taking Continued in Energy Futures
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended November 2, NET LENGTH of crude oil futures dropped -4 425 contracts to 419 293. Speculative longs dropped -4 425 contracts while shorts gained +2 885 contracts. For refined oil products, NET LENGTH for heating oil dropped...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – British Pound Slumped as BOE Refrained from Hike Rate
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended November 2, NET LENGTH of USD index futures added +525 contracts to 34 982. Bets increased on longs but dropped on shorts. The greenback got supported as the Fed will formally start QE tapering in mid-November....
Yen and Franc Followed Bonds Higher, Ignored Record Running Stocks
The developments last week were a bit confounding, as both stocks and bonds rallied notably. Yen and Swiss Franc followed the path of falling yields and rose as the biggest winner of the week.
Dollar was not much helped by Fed's tapering and solid job data. Australia Dollar ignored broad...
Dollar Surges after NFP, Breaking Out Against Euro
Dollar rises in early US session after better than expected employment data. It's now attempting a breakout against Euro. Canadian Dollar is also firmer after job data. On the other hand, Sterling remains one of the weakest for the week, as post BoE selloff continues. But Euro and Swiss...
Yen and Franc Strong on Falling Global Yields, Dollar Looks into NFP
Yen and Swiss Franc are currently the strongest ones for the week and remain generally firm. Falling global benchmark treasury yields seem to be supporting both "safe-haven" currencies. Germany 10-year bund yield is back below -0.22, UK 10-year gilt yield is below 0.95 while Japan 10-year JGB yield is...
Market Disappointed at BOE Left Bank at Historic Low. Downgraded Growth Forecast
We were surprised that the Committee voted with overwhelming majority to leave the Bank rate at 0.1%. Despite Governor Andrew Bailey's hawkish comments ahead of the meeting, the was one of those who voted to leave the policy rate unchanged. The BOE also decided to leave the QE program...
Sterling Dives as BoE Refrains from Rate Hike, Yen and Franc Firm
Sterling drops sharply after BoE stands pat, disappointing those who expected a hike. Euro is currently following as the second weakest for the day. On the other hand, Yen and Swiss Franc rise broadly, supported by falling benchmark yields in Germany and UK. Dollar is also firm as general...
Stocks Surged, Dollar Mixed after Fed Tapering, BoE Next
US stocks surged to new records overnight despite Fed's tapering announcement. Positive sentiments also continued in general in Asia. Dollar remains mixed for now and traders are probably awaiting tomorrow's non-farm payroll report before taking a commitment. Focus will now turn to BoE rate decision, as Sterling is trading...
US Crude Oil Inventory Gained More Than Expected, Weighing on Prices
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks added +0.63 mmb to 1233.92 mmb in the week ended October 29. Crude oil inventory rose +3.29 mmb to 434.1 mmb, compared with consensus of a +2.23 mmb increase....
Fed Will Start Reducing Asset Purchases in Coming Weeks. Not in a Rush to Raise Rate
As widely anticipated, the Fed announced to taper its QE program. The Fed funds rate was kept unchanged at 0-0.25%. US dollar retreated after the meeting as the Fed continued to view inflation as "transitory" and did not appear to think that a rate hike was imminent.
On economic developments,...
Dollar Shrugs Strong ADP Job Data, Fed Tapering Next
The markets are generally quiet as FOMC tapering announcement is awaited. Major European indexes tread water while US futures are mixed. Global benchmark yields are trading lower for now. In the currency markets, Canadian and Dollar are both weakening mildly today. Stronger than expected ADP job report gives little...