Yen and Swiss Franc are currently the strongest ones for the week and remain generally firm. Falling global benchmark treasury yields seem to be supporting both "safe-haven" currencies. Germany 10-year bund yield is back below -0.22, UK 10-year gilt yield is below 0.95 while Japan 10-year JGB yield is...
We were surprised that the Committee voted with overwhelming majority to leave the Bank rate at 0.1%. Despite Governor Andrew Bailey's hawkish comments ahead of the meeting, the was one of those who voted to leave the policy rate unchanged. The BOE also decided to leave the QE program...
Sterling drops sharply after BoE stands pat, disappointing those who expected a hike. Euro is currently following as the second weakest for the day. On the other hand, Yen and Swiss Franc rise broadly, supported by falling benchmark yields in Germany and UK. Dollar is also firm as general...
US stocks surged to new records overnight despite Fed's tapering announcement. Positive sentiments also continued in general in Asia. Dollar remains mixed for now and traders are probably awaiting tomorrow's non-farm payroll report before taking a commitment. Focus will now turn to BoE rate decision, as Sterling is trading...
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks added +0.63 mmb to 1233.92 mmb in the week ended October 29. Crude oil inventory rose +3.29 mmb to 434.1 mmb, compared with consensus of a +2.23 mmb increase....
As widely anticipated, the Fed announced to taper its QE program. The Fed funds rate was kept unchanged at 0-0.25%. US dollar retreated after the meeting as the Fed continued to view inflation as "transitory" and did not appear to think that a rate hike was imminent.
On economic developments,...
The markets are generally quiet as FOMC tapering announcement is awaited. Major European indexes tread water while US futures are mixed. Global benchmark yields are trading lower for now. In the currency markets, Canadian and Dollar are both weakening mildly today. Stronger than expected ADP job report gives little...
Overall markets are quite mixed for now. While US indexes surged to new record highs overnight, positive sentiment was not carried forward to Asia. Major pairs and crosses are also stuck in range. It seems that traders and investors have turned into cautious mode, awaiting Fed's tapering decision. For...
Yen extended rebound in European session following the sharp fall in benchmark Germany yield. But struggling to extend gain as markets enter into US session. Overall markets are mixed as investors are probably turning cautious ahead tomorrow's FOMC policy decision. As for today, Aussie remains the worst performing one...
The RBA tilted modestly to the hawkish side by formally ending the yield curve control and adjusting its forward guidance on the first rate hike. Policymakers remained optimistic over the economic outlook and were not very concerned about inflation. Aussie plunged as Governor Philip Lowe indicated that a lift-off...
Australia Dollar tumbles broadly today as markets are dissatisfied with RBA's dovish stance, even though yield curve control is abandoned. Commodity currencies are also trading generally lower. On the other hand, Yen is staging a strong rebound after Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said he's keeping an eye on the...
The market has fully priced in a +15 bps increase BOE's bank rate (currently at 0.1%). The mixed economic developments since the September indicate that the Committee will be very divided over whether to hike or to stand on the sideline this month. Th staff will also release the...
The November FOMC meeting would see the Fed making a formal announcement on QE tapering. We expect the plan would begin immediately and is expected to end by mid-2022. The Fed funds rate will stay unchanged at 0-0.25%. The market has priced in over 60% of a rate hike...
Swiss Franc is strengthening notably today, but selling focus has somewhat shifted from Euro to Sterling. Still, the franc is outshone by New Zealand Dollar, which is overwhelming the strongest. On the other hand, Yen is the weaker one following extended risk-on sentiments from Japan to Europe. Sterling is...
Japan's Nikkei index surges sharply by over 2% in Asian session, in very positive response to the easy win of the Liberal Democratic Party in Sunday's election. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's LDP retained comfortable majority in the House of Representatives, ensuring continuity of the economic policies. While other Asian...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended October 26, NET LENGTH of USD index futures dropped -1 477 contracts to 34 457. Bets decreased on both sides. Concerning European currencies, NET SHORT of EUR futures slipped -851 contracts to 11 256. ECB President...
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended October 26, NET LENGTH of crude oil futures dropped -5 876 contracts to 423 718. Speculative longs slumped -15 549 contracts while shorts fell -9 673 contracts. Bets were trimmed on both sides as price consolidated as...
Euro ended as the worst performing one after the post ECB rally faded quickly. It's clear that ECB would lag behind other major central banks in stopping to add stimulus, not to mention raising interest rate. The selloff in Euro also dragged down Sterling, as both were sold off...
Dollar is trying to rebound broadly in early US session, partly on strong inflation data, and partly on month end flow. But overall, the greenback is just mixed for the week. For week Aussie and Swiss Franc are the strongest ones, with the latter lifted by strong buying against...
Dollar and Yen dropped sharply overnight on strong risk-on market, as NASDAQ finally caught up and made new record high. The greenback is additionally pressured by the delayed buying in Euro after ECB post-meeting press conference. For now, Canadian Dollar is the third weakest, following the retreat in oil...