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Yen Advances Despite BoJ Uncertainty, Aussie and Kiwi Struggles Continue

Yen is trading broadly higher in otherwise sluggish Asian session today. The central focus remains on whether BoJ will implement another interest rate hike at its upcoming announcement on July 31. Media reports suggest that some BoJ officials are concerned about weak consumer spending, which complicates their decision-making. The...

Aussie’s Selloff Deepens as Copper Prices Plunge

Australian Dollar continues to lead the decline among commodity currencies today, with the selloff appearing to accelerate. Despite stabilization in risk sentiment in Europe where major indexes are trading positively, and US futures, particularly NASDAQ, pointing to a stronger open, overall sentiment remains vulnerable. This fragility is largely due...

Aussie Leads Decline in Commodity Currencies; Risk Aversion Dominates Following China’s Rate Cut

Australian Dollar leads other commodity currencies lower in Asian session today, reflecting a broader risk-off sentiment in the markets. The market's risk-off sentiment is further emphasized by the strength of Yen and Swiss Franc, currencies typically favored during periods of uncertainty. Nikkei has slipped below the 40k mark, while China's...

Shift in Risk Sentiment a Short-Lived Anomaly or Start of a Longer Correction?

Last week proved to be a whirlwind for global markets, marked by a series of shocking events—from the failed assassination attempt on Donald Trump last weekend, to the historic global tech outage that occurred on Friday that brought significant attention but surprisingly little reaction from the financial markets. Still,...

Dollar Gains on Risk Aversion Amid Quiet Trading

Risk aversion continues to support Dollar in relatively quiet trading today. Both Sterling and Canadian Dollar weakened mildly after worse-than-expected retail sales data. Euro shrugged off dovish comments from some ECB officials. Meanwhile, Yen softened slightly following lower-than-expected CPI core reading. However, overall movements in the currency markets remain limited...

Dollar Strengthens as DOW Plunges; Yen Struggles to Extend Rally

Dollar rebounded broadly overnight following steep 500+ point selloff in DOW. Some analysts cited rotation away from big tech as the cause, but the decline was broad-based. Profit-taking could be a more likely factor after recent record runs, as traders and Fed policymakers await more data to determine the...

Subdued Forex Trading as ECB Holds Rates Steady

Trading in the forex markets has been relatively subdued today. ECB's decision to hold interest rates steady was widely expected, and President Christine Lagarde's press conference did not introduce any significant new information. ECB's accompanying statement highlighted that domestic price pressures remain high, services inflation is elevated, and headline inflation...

Euro Mixed as ECB Rate Decision Looms

While Euro maintains its strength against Dollar, its performance is more mixed against other major currencies. The market's attention is now focused on the upcoming ECB rate decision and press conference. It is broadly anticipated that ECB will maintain deposit rate at 3.75% and main refinancing rate at 4.25%...

Yen Jumps Amid Rumored Intervention; Pound Rises with Fading BoE Rate Cut Hopes

Yen surged significantly against all major currencies during European session, with speculation on whether Japan has intervened again in the markets. Last week, it was rumored that Japanese authorities had spent JPY 3.5 trillion to prop up Yen. Despite this, top officials have been tight-lipped, refusing to confirm any...

Sterling Steady, Kiwi Rebounds, Gold Hits Record

Forex markets have been relatively subdued today. Sterling remains steady after June's UK CPI data revealed that both headline and core inflation were unchanged from the previous month. Significantly, services inflation also failed to cool, which could keep BoE cautious about making a premature rate cut on August 1....

Dollar Gains After Retail Sales Boost; Gold Nears New Record

Dollar bounces higher in early US session, buoyed by stronger-than-expected retail sales data. This resilience in consumer spending comes despite the persistent high inflation and elevated interest rates. The robust retail sales figures lend support to Fed's soft landing scenario, where the economy slows down without falling into a...

Yen Softens as Rebound Fades; Loonie Looks to Canadian CPI

Yen weakened broadly during Asian session today, giving back some of last week's strong gains that were reportedly driven by Japan's market intervention. Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi repeated in a press conference that it is crucial for currency rates to move "stably" and reflect economic fundamentals. He...

Calm Markets Await Powell’s Insights on Disinflation and Rate Cuts

Global financial markets lack clear direction today. Major European stock indexes are trading slightly lower, while US futures indicate a modestly higher open. Investors are unfazed by the assassination attempt on former US President Donald Trump, maintaining a calm stance. Focuses are turning to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming...

Weaker China GDP Dampens Sentiment; ECB and Global Inflation Data Highlight the Week

Asian markets began the week with a cautious tone, as weaker-than-expected GDP growth from China dampened investor sentiment, even though the selloff in stocks has been limited. Today's set of data, coupled with recent weak PMI readings, points to broader deceleration in China's recovery momentum, as both consumer and...

Dollar Plummets as Markets Brace for Double or Even Triple Fed Rate Cuts This Year

Dollar weakened broadly last weeks market expectations on Fed's policy path shifted dramatically. The June US CPI report continued the narrative painted by the previous week's Non-Farm Payroll data, both suggesting further cooling in economic activity and easing price pressures. These developments have firmly positioned a September Federal Reserve...

Dollar Softens Post-PPI Release, Yet Selling Momentum Remains Limited

Dollar is under some selling pressure in early US session despite stronger-than-expected PPI readings. However, downside momentum of the greenback is relatively limited. The post-CPI selloff yesterday did not gain significant traction, partly because stock markets unexpectedly retreated. Currently, futures are indicating a flat opening, and if activity in...

Yen’s Sharp Rally Pauses, Japan Declines to Confirm Intervention

Japanese Yen is currently the best performer of the week, bolstered by alleged intervention by Japanese authorities overnight. Both Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki and outgoing top currency official Masato Kanda declined to confirm whether Japan had intervened, with Suzuki reiterating that foreign exchange levels should be market-determined but rapid...

Fed Sep Cut Now Realistic after US CPI; Japan Intervenes to Boost Yen?

Dollar tumbled sharply in early US session following lower-than-expected consumer inflation readings. Headline CPI showed its first month-over-month decline since early 2023, while core CPI annual rate unexpectedly slowed to its lowest level since April 2021. Now, a September Fed rate cut is becoming a realistic possibility. Fed fund...

Dollar Mixed with Inflation Data on Deck; Sterling Maintains Lead

Dollar weakened notably against Sterling and Aussie overnight, but held steady against other currencies. Market focus is now on the upcoming US consumer inflation data, with expectations of a slowdown in the headline CPI and steady core CPI. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony this week boosted risk sentiment, driving...

Yen Weakness Persists in Calm Trading; Dollar Range-Bound

Yen continues its extended selloff today, except against New Zealand Dollar, in an otherwise subdued forex market. Reports indicate that BoJ may lower its economic growth forecasts for this year at its meeting later in July, while predicting that inflation will hover around 2% target in the coming years....