Yen weakens generally today in response to rebounds in Asian markets, as China and Hong Kong are back from holidays. Additionally, US 10-year yield closed mildly higher at 2.045 overnight, seemed to be drawing some support from 2% handle. But sentiments are still capped by uncertainties over US-China trade...
Sterling trades generally soft today as markets are awaiting Brexit developments. Scotland's Outer House of the Court of Session ruled against the request to force Prime Minister Boris Johnson to seek Brexit delay. But that was only because "government's clearly stated position before the court, there is no need for...
The forex markets are generally quiet today, staying in tight ranges. Trading is subdued with China and Hong Kong on holiday. Yen, Euro and Dollar are the mildly firmer ones. Australian Dollar, Sterling and Swiss Franc are the relatively weaker ones. US-China trade talks and Brexit will be the...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended October 1, NET LENGTH in USD Index added +1 089 contracts to 43 028. Speculative long positions rose +2 255 contracts and short positions added +1 166 contracts. Concerning European currencies, NET SHORT for EUR futures...
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended October 1, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures slumped -34 843 contracts to 389 319 for the week. Speculative long positions declined -13 664 contracts while shorts jumped +21 179 contracts. For refined oil products, NET LENGTH...
Dollar ended last week generally lower, except versus Swiss Franc and Canadian Dollar. The greenback was pressured as poor economic data raised recessions fears while traders added to bet of Fed cut this month. Though, there is no clear sign of bearish reversal in the greenback yet, except versus...
Dollar is relatively directionless in after mixed job data. The headline number is a slight miss and wage growth disappoints. Yet, unemployment rate dropped to lowest level since 1969. For today, Sterling is the weakest one as it looks like EU is not so happy with UK's new Brexit...
Dollar trades generally softer today as markets turned cautious ahead of non-farm payroll report. After a string of weak economic data from the US this week, recession fears intensified. NFP today could be a make-or-break point for investor sentiments in general. For now, Swiss Franc is the weakest for...
Sterling rebounds strongly as news emerged that UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson's new Brexit plan is well received by Conservatives. The news is more than enough to offset poor PMI data released earlier today. New Zealand and Australian Dollars are following as second strongest for today, paring some of...
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks dropped -0.85 mmb to 1296.69 mmb in the week ended September 27. Crude oil inventory added +3.1 mmb to 422.64 mmb (consensus: +1.57 mmb). Inventories increased in 3 out...
As the anti-extradition protests enter the fourth month, the market is increasingly concerned about the liquidity and economic slowdown in Hong Kong. Goldman Sachs' report has unnerved investors about the financial stability in Hong Kong. However, we believe the worries are exaggerated. Economic slowdown, mainly driven by Chinese economic...
Yen remains generally firm in Asian session today as risk aversion dominates. Selloff in US stocks overnight spilled over to other markets. Poor economic data, manufacturing and employment, raised recession concerns. Additionally, US is taking another step in global trade war, by raising tariffs on EU after WTO ruling...
Dollar regains some control and stays firm after ADP job report. Though, it's outshone clearly by Yen which is lifted by risk aversion. New Zealand Dollar comes in as second strongest as it's paring some of recent losses. On the other hand, Swiss Franc drops notably after poor CPI...
British pound recovers modestly in light of the news that UK PM Boris Johnson would discuss a new Withdrawal Agreement (the deal) with the EU. We are not hopeful that the new proposal on Irish border would be accepted by EU members, let alone UK parliament. Johnson’s threat that...
The forex markets are trephining in rather tight range today. Dollar turned mixed overnight after poor ISM manufacturing data. Chance of another Fed cut in October, as priced in by fed fund futures, rose to 63.1%. But outlook could change drastically with upcoming data, including ADP jobs today, ISM...
Dollar surges broadly today after a Fed dove said that the rate cuts delivered are already enough to lift inflation back to target. Euro somewhat shrug off weak inflation and PMI data and follows as second strongest, then Swiss Franc. Australian Dollar is the weakest one after RBA's dovish...
Australian Dollar drops broadly after RBA cut interest rate as widely expected. The central bank also maintains easing bias, suggesting that the easing cycle might not be over yet. Poor housing data also weight on sentiments. New Zealand Dollar is following as second weakest and then Japanese Yen. On...
Euro drops broadly today as pressured by renewed selling following weaker than expected German inflation data. That's more than enough o offset improved unemployment rate. For now, though, Swiss Franc is the weakest one, followed by New Zealand Dollar. On the other hand, Dollar surges broadly, with the help...
The markets are trading in mild risk averse mode ahead of quarter end. There are some worries of financial decoupling of US and China even though it's just at very preliminary stage. But selloff is limited with support from improvements in Chinese PMIs. Yen is trading generally firmer. On...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended September 24, NET LENGTH in USD Index added +165 contracts to 41 939. Speculative long positions added +687 contracts and short positions slipped -522 contracts. Concerning European currencies, NET SHORT for EUR futures plunged -7 837...