Dollar Holds Strong as June Rate Cut Expectations Wane; ECB to be Non-Event
Dollar remains firm in Asian session after the strong post-CPI rally. US stocks were deeply sold off as a June Fed rate cut is further priced out by the markets. Market attention is now keenly focused on the upcoming PPI for March, as well as University of Michigan's consumer...
US CPI Sparks Strong Dollar Rebound, USD/JPY Breaks 152
Dollar is having a strong, broad-based rebound in early US session, driven by upside surprises in CPI data. The concern for Fed stems not just from the headline inflation spurred by rising energy costs. But more significantly, core inflation failed to slow again, arguing that disinflation progress has stalled...
Kiwi Rallies on RBNZ’s Hawkish Hold; US CPI and BoC Next
New Zealand Dollar rises broadly in Asian session following RBNZ's decision to keep interest rates steady. The central bank's "limited tolerance" for delaying the achievement of its inflation target conveyed a hawkish tone. Rate cuts are off the table until the central bank is confidence that inflation would sustainably...
Dollar Declines Without Clear Cause: Strategic Positioning Before Inflation Data?
Dollar falls broadly today and stays weak as markets enter into US session. The underlying cause of this sell-off remains somewhat ambiguous, as there were no significant economic data releases to directly attribute the currency's selloff. The slight retreat in treasury yields, specifically the 10-year yield just gyrating between...
Kiwi Unfazed by Business Confidence Slide, Aussie Maintains Solid Ground
New Zealand Dollar traded broadly higher in Asian session, despite revelation of significant downturn in business confidence for Q1. Kiwi bears seemed to be lightening up their short positions in anticipation of RBNZ rate decision tomorrow, which is broadly expected to maintain interest rate at 5.50%. The market's recent...
Swiss Franc and Yen Soft on Rising Yields and Metals
Benchmark treasury yields in US and Europe rise notably in a day of relatively slow news flow. At the same time, Copper is extending recent up trend while Gold edged higher to new record. European stock indexes are seeing appreciable gains, and US futures indicate a positive start.
These development...
Precious Metals Shine as Global Markets Await Central Bank Decisions and Data
As Asian session unfolded, the forex markets have been relatively quiet. Precious metals, on the other hand, are making headlines with Gold soaring above new record high above 2350 mark and Silver also rallies significantly. Nikkei is having a notable rebound even though 40k psychological level could remain a...
Inflation Fears Resurface as Commodities Spike, Thwarting Central Bank Easing Hopes
Global financial markets are bracing for potential upheaval as geopolitical strains drive gold to new record while oil prices surge. This surge, alongside the rally in metals like Copper, ignites concerns over an inflation comeback. Such inflationary pressures, combined with a revival in manufacturing and service sectors, could deter...
NFP Fuels Dollar Surge, Canadian Jobs Drag Loonie
Dollar rises broadly in early US session in response to surprisingly strong non-farm payroll data. Dollar's ascent is notably pronounced the Canadian Dollar, which simultaneously grapples with its own disappointing employment figures. But against others, the overall strength of the greenback remains somewhat contained for now. The picture could...
BoJ Ueda’s Rate Hike Musings Propel Yen, Dollar Regains Ground on Risk Aversion
Japanese Yen rebounded broadly in Asian session today, shot up by comments from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda regarding the conditions for future interest rate hikes. Ueda's discussion, while not immediately setting the stage for rate increases, could be taken as a sign to prepare the markets for such a...
Swiss Franc Plummets on CPI Data Which Fuels Expectations of Further SNB Easing
Swiss Franc faced broad selling pressure in European session, driven by CPI lower than CPI data. Inflation in Switzerland slowed to its lowest since September 2021 at 1.0%, and remained within the SNB's target range for the tenth consecutive month. This development sparked speculation among market participants about the...
Fed Powell and Soft Data Dampen Dollar, While Commodity Boom Propels Aussie
Dollar was sold off overnight after weaker than expected ISM Services data, and the weakness persisted following comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Powell downplayed the significance of recent robust labor and inflation figures, suggesting them as fluctuations in "bumpy road" of moderating demand and inflation. This narrative reinforces...
Markets Unmoved by Eurozone CPI and US ADP Reports, Await Further Cues
The forex markets showed rather muted response to the latest batch of economic data released today. Euro has continued its near-term recovery, unaffected by Eurozone's lower than expected CPI flash data coming. This lack of response likely stems from the understanding that a slight miss in CPI figures does...
Dollar Sees Mild Retreat Ahead of ISM Services, Gold Extends Record Run
Dollar retreated mildly following comments from two FOMC members, including a known hawkish figure, reiterating expectations for three interest rate cuts within the year. Despite this, the retreat remains subdued as there is no guarantee yet for a June cut. Fed's approach continues to be heavily influenced by incoming...
Swiss Franc Falls Amid Surging Treasury Yields and Manufacturing Optimism
Currency markets shifted their attention towards the sell-off in Swiss Franc today, a reaction to the substantial rally observed in European and US treasury yields. With the 10-year yields in Germany and UK climbing back above 2.4% and towards 4.1% respectively, and US 10-year yield setting sights on 4.4%.
The...
Dollar Strength Persists as Markets Await Fed Speakers
Dollar stayed broadly firm in Asian session today, after rallying on robust manufacturing data and significant rebound in treasury yields overnight. The spotlight now shifts to upcoming comments from Fed officials, including Governor Michelle Bowman and New York Fed President John Williams, as markets seek clues about the central...
Post-Holiday Forex Awakening: Dollar Strengthens on Surprising ISM Manufacturing Expansion
The forex markets roared back to life from holiday lull in early US session, Dollar surges broadly as buoyed by unexpectedly strong ISM manufacturing data. This report marks a pivotal shift for the sector, which has transitioned back into expansion after 16 months of contraction. Additionally, the prices component...
Nikkei Dips on New Fiscal Year, Gold Soars to New Highs, Currencies Unmoved
Activity in global financial markets remain generally subdued due to the extended Easter holiday in many regions. Nevertheless, Japan's markets kicked off the new fiscal year on a tumultuous note, with Nikkei index having a sharp sell-off. Analysts have largely dismissed the latest quarterly Tankan survey as the catalyst...
Dollar Edges Lower as PCE Inflation Data Aligns with Expectations, Gold Hits Record
Dollar dips mildly in the wake of the latest PCE inflation data, which largely met market expectations without delivering any significant surprises. Notably, headline inflation saw a slight uptick, primarily driven by rising energy costs. Core inflation saw a slight deceleration from last month's upwardly revised figures. However, a...
Dollar’s Momentary Rise Fades Amid Market Caution
Dollar initially gained momentum in European session and breaks through near term resistance against Euro. However, the greenback then saw a swift reversal as the market transitioned into US session.
Despite a stronger final reading for US Q4 GDP, the impact on the greenback was muted, attributed largely to the...