RBA’s Lack of Hawkishness Weakens Aussie, Yen’s Retreat Continues
In the aftermath of RBA's decision to maintain interest rates unchanged and the absence of explicit hawkish signals, Australian Dollar weakens mildly. Despite notable upgrades in inflation forecasts, the central bank opted for a cautious approach, refraining from signaling imminent rate hikes and maintaining a stance of "not ruling...
Focus on RBA as Australian Dollar Maintains Strength
As the market transitions into US session, Australian Dollar maintains its position as the strongest currency of the day. While no significant economic data is expected from the US or Canada, the focus shifts to appearances by SNB Chair Thomas Jordan, as well as Fed officials Thomas Barkin and...
Yen Weakens Amidst Subdued Trading, Aussie Up ahead of RBA
Yen weakens broadly in Asian session, albeit in a subdued market environment due to Japan's holiday. Despite this, the selloff in the Japanese currency remains relatively contained, with traders vigilant of market intervention by Japan. While 160 level against Dollar is currently considered a floor for Yen, uncertainty persists...
Dollar Falls as Prospects of Two Fed Rate Cuts This Year Reemerge
Dollar concluded last week with significant losses, influenced by a set of factors that realigned market expectations and investor sentiment. A pivotal moment came with Fed Chair Jerome Powell's much less-hawkish-than-feared remarks at the FOMC press conference, coupled with disappointing US employment figures. These developments led markets back to...
Comprehensive Miss in Non-Farm Payroll Data Sends Dollar Plummeting
Dollar falls steeply in early US session following a disappointing non-farm payroll report that fell short of market expectations across key metrics including job growth, unemployment rate, and wage growth. DOW futures surge over 500 pts at the same time while 10-year yield dives through 4.5% mark.
Despite the single...
Dollar Weakness Continues as Focus Shifts to Non-Farm Payroll Data
Dollar weakens broadly in Asian session, continuing its selloff from the previous night, as influenced by rebound in US stocks and falling treasury yields. The focus is now squarely on today's non-farm payroll report, a key indicator closely monitored by Fed policymakers. Preliminary data suggest possibility for an upside...
Swiss Franc Rebounds on Strong Inflation Data, Yen Standing Tall
Swiss Franc saw a significant rebound in European session, driven by stronger-than-expected inflation figures for April. Despite this upside surprise, inflation remained within SNB's target range of 0-2% for the eleventh consecutive month. Currently, economists are still largely anticipating a further 25 basis point rate cut by SNB in...
Sentiment Stabilizes after FOMC, Yen Jumps Again on Alleged Strategic Intervention
Markets sentiment in the US stabilized overnight, responding positively to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's less hawkish-than-anticipated remarks in the post-FOMC press conference. DOW closed slightly up, while S&P 500 and NASDAQ saw mild losses only. Treasury yields and Dollar both fell in response to these developments. Key takeaways from...
Dollar’s Rebound Pauses ahead of FOMC, Oil Prices Decline
Dollar's rally slowed slightly in early US session despite robust ADP job data, as traders adopt a cautious stance ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC statement and Chair Jerome Powell's press conference. With a hawkish shift expected from Fed, the extent of Powell's hawkish tone remains the primary focus....
Dollar Firms as Markets Brace for Hawkish Fed Shift, Swiss Franc Under Pressure
Dollar rebounded broadly overnight and stayed generally firm in Asian session. Stock investors were apparently adopting a cautious stance and lightening up positions ahead of Fed's rate decision and subsequent press conference today. With recent data pointing to persistent inflationary pressures, expectations are mounting that Fed would adopt a...
Dollar Rebounds on Strong Employment Cost Data, Euro Supported by GDP and CPI Core
Dollar's rebound is picking up momentum in early US session, bolstered by latest Employment Cost Index which rose by 1.2% in Q3, marking the fastest pace since Q3 2022. This unexpected acceleration in employment costs adds to a series of economic data that suggests the US economy remains hotter...
Aussie Weighed Down by Retail Sales and China, Gold Ready for Another Down Leg
Australian Dollar weakened across the board in Asian session, dragged down by unexpectedly poor retail sales data for March. The contraction in sales is a reminder to RBA about the ongoing impact of cost of living pressures exacerbated by higher interest rates and inflation. This challenging economic backdrop is...
Yen Stabilizes After Sharp Rally, Japan Withholds Confirmation of Intervention
Yen is currently trading as the strongest currency for the day as the markets enter into US session. The earlier dip below 160 psychological support against Dollar spurred a wave of buying, propelling Yen sharply higher. However, subsequent trading has not shown clear follow-through momentum, indicating that the initial...
Yen Rebounds Vigorously Post-160 Breach as Traders Take Profits
Japanese Yen mounted a strong comeback in Asian session today after initial dip through 160 psychological support against Dollar. While the moves are exaggerated by today's thin trading volumes due to public holiday in Japan, the strong rebound is marked by widespread squaring of short positions. Traders are clearly...
Yen’s Decline, Robust US Investor Confidence, and Aussie’s Rise
Last week's market activity was shaped by several significant themes. Firstly, the Japanese Yen's rapid decline caught market participants off guard. The sell-off was exacerbated by what many considered tepid verbal interventions from Japanese officials. Current momentum suggests that the Yen's free fall is far from over. The key...
Stronger Inflation Data Fails to Lift Dollar; Yen’s Decline Persists
Dollar remains stable in early US session despite release of another set of persistently high inflation figures. The strong rebound in DOW futures suggest that investors are somewhat relieved to see no disastrous surge in inflation rates. Additionally, robust spending growth appears set to continue bolstering the US economy,...
Yen’s Free Fall Resumes Post-BoJ; Dollar Eyes PCE Inflation Data for Rescue
Japanese Yen resumes its free fall today, after a brief pause, and reaches new 34-year low against Dollar. Yen's weakness is also broad-based and evident against other major currencies, with EUR/JPY marching towards its 2008 high and GBP/JPY heading to its 2015 peak. It's clear that the absence of...
Disappointing GDP Growth and Rising Inflation Spark Risk Sentiment U-Turn
Risk sentiment took a sharp downturn following the release of US Q1 GDP data, which revealed weaker-than-expected economic growth alongside an acceleration in both headline and core PCE price indexes. This combination suggests that the US economy may be caught in a challenging cycle where high interest rates are...
Yen Weakens Further as Market Eyes Possible 160 Mark, Dollar Awaits Key GDP Data
Japanese Yen's accelerated decline captured significant attention in Asian session, while the broader currency markets remained generally stable. Market participants interpret the apparent lack of urgency from Japanese officials to address Yen's fall as a tacit approval for its continued depreciation. This perspective gains significance following the recent trilateral...
Dollar Gains Following Durable Goods Data, Canadian Drops on Retail Sales Miss
Dollar is making a modest recovery in early US session, supported by slightly better-than-expected durable goods orders and recovery in benchmark Treasury yields. However, the overarching direction of the greenback for the near term remains uncertain, largely dependent on shifting risk sentiments. Current stock futures are showing mixed opening,...