Sterling climbed broadly today after data showed that UK disinflation progress was slower than anticipated, with services inflation remaining persistently high. This development dashed hopes for an imminent rate cut by BoE, causing the odds of a rate cut in June to plummet from around 50% to below 20%....
New Zealand Dollar surged sharply higher following RBNZ's unexpectedly hawkish rate decision. While OCR was left unchanged, the central bank signaled the increased possibility of another rate hike this year and delayed projected timing of the first rate cut to the second half of 2025. However, Kiwi quickly gave...
Canadian Dollar sees a broad decline in early US session due to growing speculation about rate cut by BoC in the near future. April's headline CPI slowed as expected, despite a significant increase in gasoline prices. Core inflation measures also showed more progress in disinflation than anticipated. While it...
Australian Dollar weakened broadly during Asian session as its recent rally lost momentum. Despite RBA minutes revealing that a rate hike was considered earlier this month, which should have been supportive for the Aussie, this positive sentiment was countered by weak consumer sentiment readings. Additionally, Aussie seemed to be...
Global financial markets are trading with a risk-on sentiment today, starting from the Asian session and continuing through the European and early US sessions. However, gains in stocks have been relatively limited, partly constrained by recovery in benchmark treasury yields, and partly capped by low trading activity.
In the currency...
Asian markets kicked off the week on a positive note, buoyed by the record-breaking rally in US markets last week. Despite escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have spurred strong rallies in metals, stock investors appear relatively calm. Trading activity today may be muted due to bank...
Risk-on sentiment dominated global financial markets last week, with investors buoyed by US inflation report that alleviated fears of another interest rate hike by Fed. The DOW defied gravity and surged to a new record high above the 40k mark, while S&P 500 and NASDAQ also set new records....
Dollar is gradually recovering from the selloff triggered by US CPI data release earlier in the week. However, the recovery momentum remains indecisive. US stock markets, after a record run, are taking a breather, but bullish sentiment still appears dominant. The stock rally might resume if DOW convincingly breaks...
Yen's selloff resumed after brief recovery yesterday and continued to weaken throughout Asian session. Markets largely ignored comments from former BoJ chief economist Toshitaka Sekine, who suggested the next rate hike could happen as soon as in June. The general understanding is that BoJ will at least wait for...
The strong rally in US stocks seen yesterday appears to lack follow-through momentum, with futures indicating a flat open today. The benchmark 10-year yield is fluctuating within a tight range, and Dollar is broadly recovering as selling momentum wanes. The strong increase in import prices serves as a reminder...
Dollar faced broad sell-offs overnight and continued to weaken in Asian session. Investors breathed a sigh of relief after US CPI data indicated that disinflation is progressing, which has reignited speculation about near-term rate cuts by Fed. Or at least, another rate hike is now highly unlikely, as repeated...
Dollar falls broadly in early US session following the release of CPI data that shows disinflation resumed in April. This has reignited hopes that Fed is on track to start cutting interest rates by September, with Fed fund futures now indicating more than 70% probability of such a move....
Dollar remains broadly under pressure during Asian session as markets await the highly anticipated US CPI data. Expectations of Fed rate cuts have been building again since non-farm payroll data indicated a loosening job market. However, for the Fed to consider monetary easing, it is crucial that inflation shows...
Dollar spiked higher after US PPI reported stronger-than-expected monthly rise. However, this upward movement was quickly reversed within minutes, indicating that bearish sentiment continues to dominate the greenback. The key question now is whether Dollar will see downside breakouts before tomorrow's crucial CPI release.
Sterling's movements have also been indecisive....
Yen's decline persisted in Asian session, continuing to reverse its strong gains from earlier in the month. Traders seem confident that Japan will not intervene as long as Yen remains above 160 level against Dollar, with no apparent determination to push it through 150. This range appears to be...
Fresh selling is seen in Yen and Dollar in early US session, as the markets are going through a quiet day. There is no immediate fundamental catalyst identified for these movements. Traders might be repositioning ahead of significant US economic data releases scheduled for later in the week. Producer...
New Zealand Dollar dips mildly as the new week began on a quiet note. This comes in wake of New Zealand weaker services data and the decline in short-term inflation expectations, which may provide some relief to RBNZ about the persistence of high inflation. However, the key question remains...
Global markets were buoyed by pervasive risk-on sentiment last week, with both FTSE and DAX setting new records and major US indices posting substantial gains. Even Hong Kong HSI extended its rally from January's lows by 25%, underscoring a broad uptick in investor confidence. In Europe, enthusiasm was particularly...
Canadian Dollar surges in early US session after much stronger than expected job data that blew past market expectations. The Loonie is taking over Sterling's position as the best performer of the day, with the latter lifted slightly by strong UK GDP data. At the same time, Dollar is...
Sterling remains one of the weakest performers this week, despite lack of strong selling momentum. BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill reaffirmed the market's expectations that the central bank would start to consider interest rate cuts in upcoming meetings. These messages echoed the slight dovish shift noted in yesterday's BoE...