Market Overview
Dollar Softens Slightly Post-CPI; Focus Turns to Aussie Employment Data
US stock futures have jumped in a relief rally following release of October US CPI data, which, while showing an uptick in headline inflation and steady core inflation, stayed within expectations. This in-line report eases fears of an inflation surprise that could disrupt Fed's gradual easing path. Market sentiment...
Dollar Firm as CPI Likely to Confirm Disinflation Stalemate
The financial markets are intently focused today on US inflation data. Expectations are that both the headline CPI and core CPI remained unchanged in October from the previous month's readings of 2.4% and 3.3%, respectively.
This stagnation in disinflation supports the notion that bringing inflation back to Fed's 2% target...
Dollar Extends Rally as Yields Jumps; Euro Weakens on Disappointing Data
Dollar's rally continues broadly today, though most of its strength remains concentrated against European majors. While the greenback holds firm, it remains capped below last week's highs against commodity-linked currencies and Yen. A clear move upwards could only unfold if 10-year Treasury yield breaks past the 4.4% threshold, though...
Dollar Holds Strong Against Europeans, Awaits Fed Insights
Dollar strength and European weakness is currently the main theme in the markets this week so far. The greenback shrugs off strong risk-on sentiment, as reflected in another day of record closes in major US indexes, with strong momentum against Euro and Swiss Franc.
A lineup of Fed officials today...
Renewed US Tariff Concerns and German Instability Hammer Euro
Euro is facing immense selling pressure today as US session commences, driven by both external trade concerns and internal political challenges in Germany. The market is wary of escalation in trade tensions with the US following Donald Trump’s election victory, with reports suggesting that Robert Lighthizer—a trade hawk known...
Yen Pressured by Political Uncertainty and BoJ Rate Hesitation
Yen started the week under notable pressure, facing challenges from both political uncertainty in Japan and a cautious BoJ. A highly anticipated parliamentary vote will decide whether Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba remains in office. Ishiba's leadership is on the line after his party, the Liberal Democratic Party, lost its...
Dollar at Risk of Extended Correction as Election Volatility Fades
Significant volatility was seen in the global financial markets last week, driven by the highly anticipated US presidential election. Contrary to expectations of a tight contest, Donald Trump secured a comfortable victory over Kamala Harris, with the Republican Party also achieving a "Red Sweep" by taking control of both...
Dollar Rebounds, Suggesting Post-Election Bullish Sentiment Remains Intact
Dollar regained some strength in early US session, after a volatile week marked by high-profile events, including the US presidential election and Fed’s rate decision. The greenback's pullback from its post-election spike now appears to be more of a consolidation rather than reversal of its bullish momentum. However, Dollar...
Yen Rebounds as Japan and South Korea Signal Readiness to the Region’s Currency Markets
Yen jumps broadly in Asian trading today, boosted by heightened government warnings against the recent selloff on the currency. Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato issued a strong statement addressing the “one-sided and drastic moves” in Yen, confirming that the government is monitoring the situation with the “utmost sense of...
Dollar Reverses Post-Election Gains as Markets Seek Clarity on Fed’s Rate Path
Dollar continued to weaken in early US session, erasing the strong gains it enjoyed following Donald Trump's election victory. The greenback has turned negative for the week against several major currencies, suggesting that the initial post-election optimism has waned. Investors are now shifting their attention to Fed's upcoming rate...
Dollar Retreats as Markets Stabilize Post-Election; Focus Shifts to BoE and FOMC
Dollar saw a modest pullback in Asian session today, easing off its sharp post-election rally as market enthusiasm stabilized. US equities, including DOW, S&P 500, and NASDAQ, all closed at record highs overnight on strong gains, with DOW particularly outperforming. Meanwhile, 10-year Treasury yield surged to a crucial Fibonacci...
Dollar Stays Strong on Trump’s Win While Republicans Sweep Congress
Following Donald Trump's clear victory over Kamala Harris in the US presidential election, accompanied by a full Republican “Red Sweep” in Congress, US futures, Treasury yields, and the Dollar all surged sharply higher. Markets are responding favorably to expansionary fiscal policies, tax cuts, and a pro-growth agenda under the...
Trump’s North Carolina Victory Boosts Dollar and Yields, Bitcoin Hits New High
Dollar rallied sharply today after news broke that Republican candidate Donald Trump defeated Democrat Kamala Harris in North Carolina, a crucial battleground state. This win is considered a pivotal move toward Trump’s return to office, sparking significant moves across financial markets. US stock futures responded with enthusiasm, with DOW...
Currency Markets Steady as US Election Looms, Kiwi Eyes Key Employment Data
Global currency markets are treading water today, as all eyes turn to the US presidential election, where Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in a dead heat. Adding to the suspense, the Congressional elections will determine the president’s ability to push policy forward effectively, making the stakes especially high....
No Dovish Shift from RBA, Aussie Holds Ground with Rate Cut Delays Possible
Australian Dollar remained stable after RBA decided to keep the cash rate unchanged at 4.35% as widely expected. In the post-meeting press conference, Governor Michelle Bullock acknowledged that there has been "good progress" in reducing inflation. However, the central bank did not adopt a more dovish stance, which came...
Dollar Struggles as Safe Havens Strengthen Ahead of US Election; RBA Holds Key Focus Tomorrow
Dollar remains the weakest currency in the lead-up to the US presidential election, though its downside appears contained as early selling momentum in Asia has not extended into European session. Safe-haven currencies, led by the Swiss Franc and Yen, are gaining as US and European Treasury yields retreat. Among...
Dollar Slides as Harris Takes Iowa Lead; FOMC Adds to High-Stakes Election Week
Dollar took a notable downturn in the Asian session, and picking up downward momentum too, following a weekend poll that showed Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris edging ahead of former President Donald Trump in Iowa.
Although Harris’s 47% to 44% lead falls within the 3.4% margin of error, this development...
Dollar Dominance Temporarily Halts Pre-Election, Upside Potential Remains
Dollar, which has dominated currency markets in recent weeks, finally eased back last week. But this retreat does not necessarily indicate a reversal of its upward momentum. Instead, the greenback appears to be taking a breather ahead of the impending US presidential election. Closing as the second strongest performer...
Dollar Falls on Weak NFP Job Growth, But Losses Remain Limited
Dollar saw broad-based weakness in early US session following a much weaker-than-expected non-farm payroll report. Headline job growth came in well below forecasts, though market reaction remains tempered, as the data is widely believed to be heavily skewed by recent hurricanes and strikes. With unemployment rate holding steady and...
Sterling Slides on Budget Fallout; US Stocks Tumble Ahead of NFP
Sterling has faced significant selling pressure as markets reacted negatively to the Labour government's budget announcement. Some analysts draw comparisons to the free fall following former Prime Minister Liz Truss's mini-budget two years ago. Yet, the current selloff is notably milder. The focus now is on whether Sterling can...