Market Overview
Dollar Back Under Pressure, Yen Jumps on Falling Yields
Dollar is back under pressure following weakness in US stocks and yields overnight. But it remains largely in range, except versus Yen. Indeed, Yen buying seems to be picking up momentum again, in tandem with steep decline in Nikkei in Asian session. But risk aversion is having little impact...
Markets Mixed as Inflation Data Provide No Guidance
The forex markets are generally locked in tight range today. Canadian Dollar is supported by largely expected consumer inflation data. While Loonie is the second strongest for today so far, USD/CAD is stuck in familiar range. The markets are indeed rather mixed, as seen in New Zealand Dollar being...
Dollar Maintains Gain as Focus Turns to CPI from UK, EZ and Canada
Dollar turns into consolidation in Asian session but it's able to maintain most of this week's gain. The greenback's fate remains heavily dependent on whether Fed will cut interest rates later in the month. Strong economic data so far argue against a move. Yet, it seems they're not strong...
Dollar Rebounds on Retail Sales, Sterling Shrugs Solid Job Data
Dollar rebound strongly in early US session, with support from strong retail sales data. Though, upside is somewhat capped by industrial production miss. Canadian Dollar is, instead, the strongest one. On the other hand, Sterling is the weakest one for today despite solid employment data. UK unemployment rate stayed...
UK Employment, German ZEW and US Retail Sales Watched
New Zealand Dollar strengthens broadly today after CPI picked up in Q2. On the other hand, Australian Dollar trades slightly softer after RBA minutes affirmed easing bias. Euro and Dollar strengthen mildly in Asian session. But both will face tests from economic data, including US retail sales and German...
Dollar Shrugs Solid Manufacturing Data, Sterling Leads Euro Lower
Commodity currencies remain the strongest ones for today with help from mild risk appetite. Dollar is trying to recover on stronger than expected manufacturing data, but no follow through buying is seen yet. The greenback will need more positive data release to offset recent selling pressure. On the other...
Australian Dollar Higher on China Data, More Important Global Data Ahead
Markets are in mild risk seeking mode in Asian session, following record run in the US. China's GDP data slowed to 27-year low in Q2, but strong June data offered glimpse of hope. New Zealand and Australian Dollar follow the trend and strength today. Yen and Swiss Franc soften...
Dollar Reversed, Stocks Made New Records on as Fed Cut Expectations Solidified
Dollar's fortune reversed again last week as expectations of Fed July rate cut re-intensified. Such expectations also pushed US equities to new record highs. However, global equities lagged behind, with major FTSE, CAC and Nikkei closed inside prior week's range. DAX even dropped sharply. Also, 10-year and 30-year US...
Euro Turns Soft, Ignoring Strong Industrial Production and Rebound in German Yield
While Dollar remains the worst performing one for the week, Euro is overtaking as the weakest one for today. Selloff in crosses, in particular in EUR/CHF, is dragging down the common currency. Much stronger than expected industrial production data was ignored. Instead, it's clear that ECB is on track...
Dollar Stays Weak as Expectation on Fed Cut Solidifies
Dollar weakens generally again today as remains the worst performing one for the week, on expectation of July Fed cut. Fed Chair Jerome Powell also indicated that the decision could be based more on continuing uncertainties, rather than deterioration of outlook. New York Fed John Williams also hinted he...
Dollar Selloff Halts after Core CPI Acceleration, Not Sign of Rebound Yet
Dollar remains the weakest one for today even though selloff somewhat stabilized in early US session. Stronger than expected core CPI is providing some support to the greenback, together with job data. However, the question remains on whether Fed will deliver the "insurance" rate cut this month, due to...
Fed Cut Expectation Hammers Dollar, Lifts Stocks, But Yen Also Jumps
Now, after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony, a July Fed cut is more like a done deal than not. Dollar tumbled broadly overnight and selloff continues today. Euro is the second weakest as ECB will likely be a step ahead of Fed to announce additional stimulus this month. June's...
Dollar Drops as Powell Said Uncertainties Continue to Weigh on Outlook, Testimony Awaited
Dollar drops notably in response to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's prepared remains for the two day Congressional testimony which starts today. The greenback is currently the weakest one for today, followed by Yen and the Canadian. On the other hand, New Zealand Dollar is the strongest one, followed by...
Dollar Stays Firm ahead of Fed Powell’s Testimony, UK GDP & BoC Watched Too
Dollar remains the strongest one for the week even though upside momentum is diminishing today. The single most important factor for Dollar's next move is whether Fed would cut interest rate at this month's meeting. A 50bps cut is basically priced out by the markets, but futures still indicate...
Dollar Stays Firm as Fed Powell Offers No Rate Clue Yet, Sterling Weak
Dollar, Swiss Franc and Yen remain the strongest ones for today. Risk aversion mode was turned on in European session and is carried forward to US session. Investors are turning cautious as expectation for Fed rate cut this month is being adjusted. Fed Chair Jerome Powell didn't comment on...
Australian Dollar Softer on Weak Business Confidence and Chinese Stocks
Following mild pull back in US equities overnight, Asian markets are mixed. Though, apparent weakness in China and Hong Kong stocks are dragging down Australian Dollar, which is the weakest one for today so far. Sterling is the next weakest as data showed retail sales suffered the worst June...
Euro Lower on Deteriorated Eurozone Investor Confidence
Euro trades broadly lower today as investor confidence deteriorated further despite slightly easing US-China trade tensions. German 10-year yield also weakens again following weaker investor sentiments, as German lender Deutsche Bank AG started its most aggressive restructuring and layoff. Sterling and Yen are also among the weakest ones. On...
Dollar Paring Gains as Focus Turns to Fed Powell’s Testimony and FOMC Minutes
Asian markets tumble broadly, partly as reactions to Japan's export controls on certain Korean semiconductor materials. Also, the weakness is partly due to adjustment in expectations on Fed's rate cut this month, after Friday's solid US job data. Though, the currency markets are steadily mixed. Yen is one of...
Markets Still Believe in a July Fed Cut, But Powell Has the Last Chance to Correct It
Major global treasury yield tumbled sharply last week on expectations of policy easing by central banks. In particular, ECB Governing Council member Olli Rehn issued panic call for further monetary stimulus "now". German 10-year bund yield hit as low as -0.407, below ECB's -0.40% deposit rate. UK 10-year gilt...
Dollar Rebounds as Strong NFP Puts Fed Cut into Question
Dollar rebound strongly today after much better than expected job data. 10-year yield also jumps sharply and is currently up 0.083 at 2.022, back above 2% level. DOW futures, on the other hand, tumble notably. Analysts reactions regarding to the data are divided. Some are more aligned with fed...