Market Overview
Dollar Ignores Trump’s Fed Attack, Euro Mixed after German IFO
Dollar stays generally soft in quiet markets but selling seems to have slowed in early US session. Trump criticizes Fed as sticking like a "stubborn child" on interest rates. Such comments are ignored by markets, sensibly, in general. The key to Fed's policy is whether Trump is able to...
Dollar Stays Soft as Markets Await G20, Aussie Mildly Firmer
The financial markets are relatively steady in a light day today. The imminent risk of war between US and Iran is eased, as Trump opts for more economic sanctions. Meanwhile, it appears that US and China are both preparing for the Trump-Xi summit at G20 in Japan later in...
Fed & ECB Turned Dovish, But It’s Too Early to Confirm July Policy Actions
Major global central bankers sang a chorus of dovishness last week. Most importantly, both ECB and Fed signaled the possibility of rate cuts ahead. Comparatively, RBA's indication of more rate cut was not much a surprise. In the background, it appeared US and China were back on track to...
Euro Jumps as Eurozone PMIs Show Tentative Signs of Turnaround
Euro rises broadly today as PMI data showed no further deterioration in sentiments in Eurozone. Underlying growth momentum remained weak, but there were more tentative signs of improvement in Germany and France. Swiss Franc remains firm on Middle East Tension. It's reported that Trump has given Iran a warning...
Dollar in Weak Recovery as Focus Turns to Eurozone PMIs
Dollar recovers mildly today but there is apparently no follow through buying for a turn around. The greenback is still feeling heavy on dovish Fed which opened the door for rate cut at this week's FOMC meeting. Weakness in Dollar is also apparent in the strength of Gold, which...
Middle East Tensions Overshadow Dovish Central Banks, Swiss Franc and Canadian Steal the Show
Dollar remains broadly weak, suffering heavy selling pressure after Fed turned dovish yesterday and opened the door for rate cut. Though, Swiss Franc and Canadian Dollar steal the show today on escalating middle tensions. WTI crude oil rises over 4% on news that a US drone was shot down...
Dovish Fed Sent Dollar and Yields Lower, More Downside in Near Term
Dollar drops broadly overnight after Fed indicates that it's ready to "act as appropriate" on interest rates, depending incoming data. It's clearly a sign that Fed is opening door for rate cut, even though it may not come as soon as in July. Selling picks up momentum today together...
Canadian Dollar Jumps on CPI, Dollar Mixed Awaiting FOMC Guidance
Canadian Dollar jumps broadly in early US session, after stronger than expected inflation data remove another reason for BoC rate cut. Though, for now, Loonie is overshadowed by Sterling and Swiss Franc, which are the strongest ones. Meanwhile, risk appetite recedes mildly ahead of FOMC rate decision. Dollar is...
Sentiments Boosted by Trump and Draghi, But Traders Hold Their Bets ahead of FOMC
Market sentiments were given two strong boosts yesterday, first by ECB's indication of monetary stimulus ahead, then by renewed optimism of US-China trade negotiations. Positive sentiments carried forward to Asian session, with strong rally seen in major indices. Though, reactions in currency markets are relatively "refrained" as traders are...
Euro Tumbles, German Yield Hits Record Low as ECB Prepares for More Easing
Surprisingly dovish comments from ECB President Mario Draghi sent Euro sharply lower, and German 10-year yield to new record low today. There are some speculations that ECB could eventually cut interest rates, with a tiered system", alongside released of new economic projections in July. The comments also send German...
Australian Dollar Tumbles on Dovish RBA Minutes, Sterling Weakens Too
Australian Dollar drops broadly today after RBA minutes confirm that more rate cuts are underway. Additional, worse than expected house price data gives the Aussie more selling pressure. Sterling is not far away as second weakest, ahead of the next round of UK Conservative leadership voting today. For now,...
Euro Rises on Strong Wage Growth, Dollar Softens on Weak Data
Euro strengthens broadly in mixed forex markets today. Record wage growth in Q1 is a factor under-pinning the common currency. Poor US economic data also helps. But at this point, strength mainly centers in crosses, against Aussie most notably. Meanwhile, New Zealand Dollar is the second strongest one for...
Dollar Firm as Markets Skeptical on Fed Insurance Rate Cut Path
Dollar remains generally firm in quiet Asian markets today. The greenback continues to be supported by expectation that FOMC won't deliver any "insurance" rate cut this week. Instead, Fed policy makers will look at the upcoming developments before making a decision, in particular the result of G20 summit regarding...
Dollar Rebounded Strongly as Focus Turns to FOMC Meeting
Dollar ended as the strongest one last week as economic data from the US affirmed that Fed is in no rush to deliver the "insurance" rate cut this month, that is, on June 19. Yen was the second strongest as US and German treasury yields stays pressured. Canadian Dollar...
Dollar Rises Broadly on Retail Sales and Industrial Production
Dollar jumps broadly in early US session after solid gain in retail sales in May, with upward revision in April figures. Yen is following as the second strongest on risk aversion, followed by Canadian Dollar. Geopolitical tensions heightened after US blame Iran for attacks on oil tankers yesterday. New...
Geopolitical Tensions and Poor China Down Weigh on Sentiments, Gold Shines and Yen Jumps
The financial markets are generally weighed down by risk aversion. Geopolitical tensions heightened after US blamed Iran for involving in the oil tanker attacks near the entrance to the Persian Gulf on Thursday. But Iranian officials denied any involvement and reiterated calls for a regional dialogue. Adding to that...
Swiss Franc Lifted by Attacks on Oil Tankers, Shrugs SNB
Attacks on two oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman is the biggest news in early US session. WTI oil price is up 3.5% and is back pressing 53 handle after dipping to 50.85 yesterday. The news is both supportive Swiss Franc and Canadian Dollar, which are currently the...
Australian Dollar Dives as Job Data Gives Nod to More RBA Rate Cuts
Australian Dollar tumbles broadly today as weak employment data solidifies the case for more RBA rate cut ahead. The headline number might be strong but the details are generally weak. The Aussie is also generally pressured by mild risk aversion in Asian markets. For now, Dollar is following Aussie...
Dollar Survives Slight US CPI Miss, But No Turnaround Yet
The forex markets are rather mixed today. Dollar suffered very brief selling after CPI miss. But the greenback quickly regains footing as the readings are not bad enough to push Fed for a cut. For now, Sterling is the strongest one for today, followed by Yen and then Dollar....
Aussie Lower on Deteriorating Consumer Sentiment, Risk Appetite Recedes Mildly
ommodity currencies trade broadly lower today as risk appetite lost momentum. Major US indices reversed earlier gains to close mildly lower. Asian stocks generally follow with the exception of Singapore. Aussie is also weighed down by deteriorating consumer sentiment. Swiss Franc and Yen gearing up some momentum but for...