Market Overview
Yen Jumps as Trade Optimism Waned Suddenly after China Canceled Farm Trip
Yen and Swiss Franc ended as the strongest ones last week. They're partly supported by lack of clear indication of imminent easing from respective central banks. There was additional buying on a pessimistic turn on US-China trade talks. Dollar ended mixed after Fed's hawkish rate cut. Theorectically, Fed should...
Dollar Regains Ground after US Exempts Some Tariffs on China
Dollar regains some ground in early US session as US exempts tariffs on some Chinese products temporarily. It seems that both sides are keen to create the right mood for continuing negotiations, at least for now. Though, at this points, Swiss Franc and Yen remain the stronger ones for...
Sterling Surges as EU Juncker said a Brexit Deal is Possible by Oct 31
Sterling rises broadly today on optimism that a Brexit deal could finally be reached by the end of next month. For now, Swiss Franc and Yen are following as next strongest. On the other hand, Dollar turns soft as post-FOMC lift continued to fade, followed by New Zealand Dollar...
Focus Turning to Trade Talks after BoE, SNB and BoJ
Swiss Franc and Yen are trading as the strongest for today so far. Both like lifted by somewhat dovish yet balanced central bank decisions. There are no clear indication of imminent policy easing from SNB nor BoJ yet. On other hand, commodity currencies are generally lower as led by...
Dollar Lacks Follow Through Buying after Fed’s Hawkish Cut
The stock markets are mixed after the hawkish rate cut by Fed overnight but treasury yields are back under pressure. Dollar rose mildly after the announcement but there was no follow through buying. Yen surges broadly today, riding on falling yields, followed by Swiss Franc. Australian Dollar is the...
Markets in Tight Range and Fed Rate Cut Awaited
The forex markets are generally stuck in very tight range today, as markets await Fed's rate cut. Dollar is the stronger one as followed by Canadian and Yen. Australian Dollar is the weakest one so far. Sterling follows as second weakest after lower than expected consumer inflation reading. New...
Dollar Mildly Higher as Fed Cut Turned From Done Deal to Debatable
Dollar firms up mildly today as all eyes are on FOMC rate decision. A rate cut has turned from being a done deal to debatable, based on market pricing. While a cut is still generally expected, the greenback could be supported if Fed signals that the door for further...
Euro Recovers as German Economic Sentiment Rebounds, Dollar also Higher
Euro recovers mildly today as partly supported by strong rebound in German economic sentiment. Though, upside is capped for now as outlook for the country remains negative. Follows as the second strongest, then Yen. Fed is still widely expected to cut interest rate again tomorrow. And the question is...
Australian Dollar Turns Soft after RBA Minutes, on Mild Risk Aversion
Australian Dollar weakens broadly in Asian session after RBA minutes suggested more rate cuts ahead. Commodity currencies are also generally lower on mild risk aversion. There is little support from news of US-Japan trade agreement. on the other hand, Swiss Franc and Euro are trading generally stronger, followed by...
Euro & Sterling Weak after Johnson’s Meeting with Juncker Made No Progress
Euro drops broadly today on some dovish comments from ECB officials. Also, it's believed that surge in oil prices could hurt Eurozone's balance of payment. Sterling stays weak as meeting between Prime Minster Boris Johnson and EU Jean-Claude Juncker ended without any noticeable progress. Generally weaker sentiments also keep...
Canadian Dollar Rebounds on Strong Oil Prices, Yen Firmer on Mild Risk Aversion
Canadian recovers notably today following the strong rally in oil prices, after attack on Saudi Arabia's oil production. Yen follows as the second strongest on mild risk aversion, as sentiments are also weighed down by poor Chinese data. On the other hand, Sterling is the paring some of last...
Fed Might Cut Just Once More in Mid-Cycle Adjustment as Sentiments Improved
Threat of US-China trade war escalation receded last week after both sides offered some concessions. Further than that, there is increasing hope of de-escalation of some form as the idea of an "interim" trade deal floated around. Both sides seemed to be communicating well in preparation for the meeting...
Euro to End Firm as ECB Seen Done with Easing
European majors remain generally firm today. In particular, Euro is supported by the view that ECB has done with policy easing after yesterday's stimulus package. Such view is supported by rare open criticism on the measures by ECB officials. Commodity currencies are generally softer together with Dollar. Over the...
European Majors Strong after Euro Survived ECB Stimulus
European majors are generally stronger today, after Euro survived yesterday's ECB monetary easing. Meanwhile, Canadian Dollar is broadly pressured following decline in oil prices. New Zealand Dollar is also weak after poor manufacturing data. Dollar is soft despite more positive news regarding US-China trade negotiations. Over the week, Sterling...
Euro Sold Off on ECB Easing With QE and Deposit Rate Cut
Euro drops broadly after ECB finally delivers and announced a package of stimulus. The cut in deposit rate and size of QE are somewhat smaller than expected. But the new economic projections remain decidedly dovish despite the easing package. At this point, Sterling is following closely as the second...
Sentiments Lifted by US-China Goodwill Gestures, ECB Stimulus Awaited
Market sentiments were given another strong lift after both US and China offered gestures of good will ahead of next month's trade meeting. Yen extended this week's pullback and remains generally soft in Asian session today. Swiss Franc follows as the second weakest naturally. Meanwhile, commodity currencies are generally...
Euro Lower as Traders Prepare for ECB, Dollar Shrugs Trump’s Tweets
Euro weakens broadly today, in relatively quiet markets, as traders are probably adjusting their positions ahead of tomorrow's ECB rate decision. A new package of stimulus is widely expected. Yet, opinions on the exact composition of the package is divided. Meanwhile, steady market sentiments is keeping Yen and Swiss...
Sentiments Lifted as China Exempt Some Tariffs on US, Removes QFII Quota
Market sentiments are generally lifted in Asia, by China's announcement to exempt some US imports from tariffs, ahead of next month's meeting. Also, while symbolic, investors also cheer China's move to remove quota for foreign institutional investors on the capital market. Yen and Swiss Franc are under selling pressure...
Sterling Lifted Mildly by Job Data, Markets Steady Overall
The financial markets are generally steady today, with stock and bond markets bounded in tight range. Most major currency pairs and crosses are also staying inside yesterday's range. Swiss Franc is currently the firmer one, followed by Sterling is mildly firmer on solid employment data, but upside is capped....
Yen Lower as Yields Recover, Aussie Falls on Business Confidence
Yen weakens broadly today following recovery in major treasury yields, as a sign of stabilization in sentiments. Most notably, German 10-year yield closed above -0.6% at -0.585, while US 10-year yield closed above 1.6% at 1.622. Australian Dollar is currently the second weakest, after poor business condition and confidence...