Market Overview
Euro Gains as Inflation Data Strengthens Hawkish Case for ECB
Euro strengthened broadly after Eurozone's flash CPI revealed stronger-than-expected increase in headline inflation, while the decline in core inflation has come to a halt. This data, coupled with the better-than-anticipated GDP figures released yesterday, has provided substantial support to the hawks within ECB. There appears to be no immediate...
Yen Recovers as BoJ Holds Rates; Euro Strengthens Ahead of Inflation Data
Yen recovers broadly today after BoJ left interest rates unchanged, and largely maintained the economic projections unchanged too. The direction of monetary policy remains clear as the next move is a hike if the outlook is realized. Yet, BoJ dropped no clue on the timing. Data from Japan were...
Dollar Gains on Strong Job Data as Euro Rebounds on GDP
Dollar strengthened in the early session, buoyed by surprisingly strong ADP private sector job data that far outpaced expectations. This robust employment figure has bolstered optimism for Friday’s upcoming non-farm payrolls report, which many anticipate will confirm sustained strength in the US labor market. With job growth remaining solid,...
Aussie Struggles Persist as Disinflation Raises Rate Cut Prospects
Australian Dollar's misery continues today, firstly pressured by Q3 inflation data that showed encouraging progress on disinflation. This development has strengthened the case for RBA to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.35% in its upcoming meeting next week. More importantly, a rate cut in February now appears more probable...
Dollar Gains as Bond Yields Surge, Bitcoin Breaks Above 70K on Post-Election Hopes
Dollar extended its broad gains today, bolstered by the jump in US 10-year Treasury yield, which surpassed 4.3% as expectations grow for an expansive fiscal agenda following the US presidential election. In parallel, Bitcoin has surged past 70K for the first time since June, driven by speculation that post-election...
Aussie Sinks ahead of CPI as China Stimulus Optimism Fades
Aussie fell broadly today as pressured by a combination of factor. A significant contributor is the strengthening greenback, supported by expectations of slower-than-anticipated Fed easing cycle and rising yields driven by US presidential election considerations. Another factor weighing on Aussie is the waning enthusiasm for China's stimulus measures, mirrored...
Yen Stabilizes Amid Political Speculation as Wage Growth Hits Record Levels
While Yen remains the weakest performer today, it has managed to recover part of its initial losses following the weekend’s inconclusive election. Investor sentiment stabilized somewhat on hopes that Japan's Liberal Democratic Party could still secure a majority in the lower house through a coalition with Komeito and smaller...
Yen Falls on Political Turmoil as Dollar Strengthens Ahead of Key Economic Data
Yen suffered broad-based selloff during an otherwise quiet Asian session, following the weekend's indecisive snap election that left Japan without a clear governing party. In contrast, Dollar emerged as the main beneficiary despite its own political uncertain, building on its recent upward momentum and gained across the board.. Canadian...
Dominant Dollar Breaks Key Resistance Alongside 10-Year Yield
Dollar emerged as the unequivocal winner in the currency markets last week. Both Dollar Index and 10-year US Treasury Yield surged through their respect technically significant 55 W EMA resistance. It remains to be seen whether traders are positioning ahead of the US presidential election results, which are less...
Dollar Pulls Back with Market Caution Rising Before Critical US Events
The forex markets have shifted into consolidation mode today, with Dollar’s rally slowing as profit-taking sets in. Traders are showing caution ahead of two critical events that could reshape the near-term outlook: the upcoming non-farm payroll report next Friday, and the US presidential election the following week. NFP data...
Dollar Cools as Yields Stabilize, Gold Rally Loses Momentum
Dollar has started to ease after a strong rally this week, alongside US Treasury yields. While the greenback is consolidating gains against European majors and Yen, there’s little indication of a substantial pullback for now. Against commodity currencies, Dollar still holds potential for additional gains. Still, traders may avoid...
Euro Offered Relief With PMI Data Backing 25bps ECB Cut in Dec
The forex markets are relatively calm today, as major currency pairs and crosses gyrate within familiar ranges, digesting recent moves, and awaiting fresh data. Euro is having a slight recovery, supported by mixed PMI data that reflected an improving outlook in Germany, offset by a more concerning deterioration in...
Yen Recovers as Japan Breaks Silence on Currency Depreciation, Euro Awaits PMI Data
Japanese Yen saw a modest recovery today after briefly dipping below the 153 mark against Dollar, as Japanese officials finally broke silence on the currency's recent decline. Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato stated that the government is closely monitoring exchange-rate movements with "heightened vigilance, including for any speculative moves." He...
Yen and Nikkei Tumble as Japan Prepares for Snap Election, Dollar Extends its Dominance
Japanese Yen and the Nikkei index have both been hammered this week as political uncertainty ahead of Japan’s snap election seemed to be rattling investor confidence. Yen accelerated its slide against Dollar through 153 mark while Nikkei ended the day with a sharp loss of over 300 points. Prime...
Yen Weakens Further as Japan Remains Silent
Japanese Yen's broad selloff intensified during the quiet Asian trading session today, with the currency continuing to weaken against major counterparts. A key factor behind Yen's decline is the ongoing surge in US and European bond yields, which diminishes the appeal of the low-yielding Yen. More striking, however, is...
Sterling’s Decline Deepens as Dollar Maintains Strength
Sterling weakened broadly in a subdued trading today, with no significant data releases to drive market activity. Investors are awaiting BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's upcoming speech, where he might reaffirm a dovish tone. Earlier this month, in an interview with The Guardian, Bailey hinted at the possibility of becoming...
Rising US Yields Push Dollar Higher, While Yen and Euro Struggle
Dollar strengthened broadly overnight, propelled by the extended rally in US Treasury yields. 10-year yield soared to its highest level since late July, breaching 4.2% mark during Asian trading session. The move reflects growing market expectations that Fed's monetary policy easing will proceed more slowly than initially hoped. Importantly,...
Dollar Hold Firm as Yen Weakens Amid Subdued Trading
In the largely uneventful Asian and European sessions today, major currencies remained within familiar ranges, as the absence of key economic data releases kept markets subdued. Central bank commentary continued to dominate the narrative, particularly from ECB officials, who maintained their dovish stance. However, this comes as little surprise,...
Forex Markets in Consolidation, Bitcoin Struggles at 70k
In the Asian trading session today, the forex markets remained largely in consolidative state, with most major currency pairs moving within familiar ranges. Japanese Yen showed slight firmness, trading in a tight range alongside the Dollar and Kiwi. Conversely, British Pound Sterling softened, accompanied by Loonie and Aussie. The...
Dollar Extends Winning Streak, Though Momentum Hints at Waning Strength
Dollar continued its reign as the strongest currency for yet another week, bolstered by solidifying expectations around gradual and measured rate cut cycle by Fed. The rate cut from ECB provided some additional tailwind for the greenback. However, momentum behind the Dollar's rise remains tepid. Strong risk-on sentiment, coupled...