EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0876; (P) 1.0897; (R1) 1.0911; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.1213 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0740 next. On the upside, above 1.0953 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 at 1.0404.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0886; (P) 1.0911; (R1) 1.0935; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920 will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next. On the upside, above 1.0953 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0886; (P) 1.0911; (R1) 1.0935; More….

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1213 resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920 will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next. On the upside, above 1.0953 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0923; (P) 1.0938; (R1) 1.0954; More….

EUR/USD is staying above 1.0899 temporary low and intraday bias stays neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 1.0996 resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920 will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0923; (P) 1.0938; (R1) 1.0954; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected as long as 1.0996 resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920 will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1213 extended to as low as 1.0899 last week, but lost momentum after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for some consolidations first. Further decline is expected as long as 1.1036 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 1.0920 will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

In the long term picture, a long term bottom is in place at 0.9534 (2022 low). But for now, EUR/USD is struggling to sustain above 55 M EMA (now at 1.1018). Outlook is neutral at best at this point.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0906; (P) 1.0931; (R1) 1.0961; More….

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920 will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next. On the upside, above 1.0996 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0906; (P) 1.0931; (R1) 1.0961; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920 will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next. On the upside, above 1.0996 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0920; (P) 1.0956; (R1) 1.0975; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the downside for the moment. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920 will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next. On the upside, above 1.0996 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0920; (P) 1.0956; (R1) 1.0975; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is back on the downside with break of 1.0950 temporary low. Fall from 1.1213 short term top is resuming for 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next. On the upside, above 1.0996 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0962; (P) 1.0980; (R1) 1.0998; More….

EUR/USD dips mildly today but stays above 1.0950 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further decline is expected as long as 1.1043 resistance holds. Below 1.0950 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0962; (P) 1.0980; (R1) 1.0998; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidations above 1.0950 temporary low. Fall from 1.1213 short term top is expected to continue as long as 1.1082 resistance holds. Below 1.0950 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0956; (P) 1.0972; (R1) 1.0989; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral first with current recovery. Fall from 1.1213 short term top is expected to continue as long as 1.1082 resistance holds. Below 1.0950 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0956; (P) 1.0972; (R1) 1.0989; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the downside. Fall from 1.1213 short term top is in progress for 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next. On the upside, above 1.1039 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0937; (P) 1.0989; (R1) 1.1026; More….

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1213 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next. On the upside, above 1.1039 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0937; (P) 1.0989; (R1) 1.1026; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Fall from 1.1213 is in progress for 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next. On the upside, above 1.1039 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s extended decline and strong break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.1031) last week suggest that the near term trend has reversed. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next. On the upside, above 1.1039 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance (2023 high) suggests that corrective pattern from there (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 50% retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 at 1.0404.

In the long term picture, a long term bottom is in place at 0.9534 (2022 low). But for now, EUR/USD is struggling to sustain above 55 M EMA (now at 1.1018). Outlook is neutral at best at this point.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1008; (P) 1.1030; (R1) 1.1052; More….

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1001 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0665 to 1.1213 at 1.1004) argues that whole rally from 1.0665 has completed at 1.1213. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% retracement at 1.0874 and possibly below. On the upside, above 1.1039 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1008; (P) 1.1030; (R1) 1.1052; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral, with focus on 1.1001 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0665 to 1.1213 at 1.1004). Strong rebound from this level will retain near term bullishness. Above 1.1082 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.1213 and then 1.1274 high. However,decisive break of 1.1001/4 will confirm near term bearish reversal. Intraday bias will be turned back to 61.8% retracement at 1.0874.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1274 should have completed at 1.0665 already. Decisive break of 1.1274 (2023 high) will confirm resumption of whole up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0665 at 1.1740. However, decisive break of 1.1001 will argue that corrective pattern from 1.1274 is extending with another falling leg.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1024; (P) 1.1054; (R1) 1.1074; More….

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook. Intraday bias stays neutral and further rally is still expected with 1.1001 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0665 to 1.1213 at 1.1004) intact. Break of 1.1213 will target 1.1274 high. However, decisive break of 1.1001/4 will confirm near term bearish reversal. Intraday bias will be turned back to 61.8% retracement at 1.0874.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1274 should have completed at 1.0665 already. Decisive break of 1.1274 (2023 high) will confirm resumption of whole up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0665 at 1.1740. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.1001 support holds.