AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7543; (P) 0.7563; (R1) 0.7589; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is mildly on the upside for 0.7609 resistance. Break will indicate resumption of rise from 0.7472 and target 0.7748 high. That will also argue that whole rally from 0.7158 is resuming and put 0.7849 key resistance fibonacci level in focus. On the downside, below 0.7490 will now likely send AUD/USD through 0.7472 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7524; (P) 0.7535; (R1) 0.7553; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned back to the upside with breaking of 0.7562 minor resistance. Break of 0.7609 resistance will indicate resumption of rise from 0.7472 and target 0.7748 high. That will also argue that whole rally from 0.7158 is resuming and put 0.7849 key resistance fibonacci level in focus. On the downside, below 0.71490 will now likely send AUD/USD through 0.7472 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s rebound lost momentum after hitting 0.7609 and reversed. The development mixed out the near term outlook. And we’ll wait and see which side AUD/USD will break out to.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in AUD/USD is neutral this week first. With 0.7562 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is just mildly in favor for0.7472 support. Firm break there will revive the case that whole rise from 0.7158 is completed at 0.7740. In that case, AUD/USD will target a test on 0.7158 key support level next. On the upside, above 0.7562 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.7609 resistance. Break will target a test on 0.7748 high.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, while the down trend from 1.1079 might extend lower, we’re not anticipating a break of 0.6008 (2008 low) yet. We’ll look for bottoming above there to reverse the medium term trend.

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7496; (P) 0.7522; (R1) 0.7551; More…

With 0.7562 minor resistance intact, deeper fall could be seen back to 0.7472 support. Firm break there will revive the case that whole rise from 0.7158 is completed at 0.7740. In that case, AUD/USD will target a test on 0.7158 key support level next. On the upside, above 0.7562 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.7609 resistance. Break will target a test on 0.7748 high.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7471; (P) 0.7516; (R1) 0.7542; More…

AUD/USD recovers mildly today but intraday bias remains on the downside for 0.7472 support. Firm break there will revive the case that whole rise from 0.7158 is completed at 0.7740. In that case, AUD/USD will target a test on 0.7158 key support level next. On the upside, above 0.7562 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.7609 resistance. Break will target a test on 0.7748 high.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7529; (P) 0.7563; (R1) 0.7592; More…

The break of 0.7530 minor support suggests that rebound from 0.7472 has completed at 0.7609 already. Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned back to the downside for 0.7472 first. Firm break there will revive the case that whole rise from 0.7158 is completed at 0.7740. In that case, AUD/USD will target a test on 0.7158 key support level next. Meanwhile, above 0.7609 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.7748.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7565; (P) 0.7588; (R1) 0.7611; More…

AUD/USD retreats today as rebound from 0.7472 lost momentum after hitting 0.7609. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. At this point, we’re still slightly favoring the case that pull back from 0.7748 is completed at 0.7472. And rise fro 0.7158 is possibly resuming. Above 0.7609 will target 0.7678 resistance first. Break there will confirm this case and send AUD/USD through 0.7748 towards long term fibonacci level at 0.7849. On the downside, though, below 0.7530 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.7472 instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD dipped to 0.7472 last week but failed to sustain below 0.7490 support and rebounded. The development argues that rise from 0.7158 is possibly not completed yet. And another rally could be seen through 0.7748 resistance to test key long term fibonacci level at 0.7849.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in AUD/USD is mildly on the upside this week for 0.7678 resistance. Break there will confirm completion of the pull back from 0.7748. And rise from 0.7158 would be resuming. AUD/USD should target 0.7748 and above next. On the downside, below 0.7530 minor support will turn bias neutral again, with focus back on 0.7472 support.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, while the down trend from 1.1079 might extend lower, we’re not anticipating a break of 0.6008 (2008 low) yet. We’ll look for bottoming above there to reverse the medium term trend.

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7487; (P) 0.7507; (R1) 0.7542; More…

AUD/USD rebounded strongly with firm break of 0.7531 minor resistance. That indicates fall from 0.7748 is completed at 0.7472, after failing to sustain below 0.7490 key support. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 0.7678 resistance. More importantly, the development argues that rise from 0.7158 may be resuming. Break of 0.7678 could now pave the way through 0.7748 and put key fibonacci level at 0.7849 in focus. On the downside, below 0.7530 minor support will turn bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8142) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7477; (P) 0.7495; (R1) 0.7517; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral for the moment. Rise from 0.7158 is likely completed at 0.7748. And, near term trend has reversed. Sustained break of 0.7490 support should confirm this bearish case. And, deeper fall should be seen back to 0.7158 support zone next. On the upside, above 0.7351 minor resistance with dampen this view and turn bias back to the upside for 0.7586/7678 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8142) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7483; (P) 0.7495; (R1) 0.7515; More…

Intraday bias stays on the downside with 0.7531 minor resistance intact. Rise from 0.7158 is already completed at 0.7748. And, near term trend has reversed. Deeper fall should be seen back to support zone next. On the upside, above 0.7351 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited by 0.7586 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8142) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7480; (P) 0.7513; (R1) 0.7531; More…

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.7748 continues today and breaches 0.7490 support. The development indicates that rise from 0.7158 is already completed at 0.7748. And, near term trend has reversed Intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.7144/58 support zone next. On the upside, above 0.7351 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited by 0.7586 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8142) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s sharp decline last week and downside acceleration is affirming the case of near term reversal. That is rise from 0.7158 is completed at 0.7748 already. Focus will now be on 0.7490 support. Firm break there will confirm this bearish case and target 0.7158 again in near term.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside this week for 0.7490 key near term support. Decisive break there will confirm completion of whole rise form 0.7158. In such case, deeper fall would be seen back to 0.7144/58 support zone. On the upside, break of 0.7586 support turned resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall from 0.7448. Otherwise, outlook will remains cautiously bearish in case of recovery.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8142) and above.

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, while the down trend from 1.1079 might extend lower, we’re not anticipating a break of 0.6008 (2008 low) yet. We’ll look for bottoming above there to reverse the medium term trend.

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7525; (P) 0.7551; (R1) 0.7569; More…

AUD/USD drops to as low as 0.7516 so far today and intraday bias remains on the downside for 0.7490 support. Decisive break of 0.7490 will confirm completion of rise from 0.7158. In such case, near term outlook will be turned bearish for 0.7158 support. On the upside, above 0.7586 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. And, break of 0.7678 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside and could extend the rise fro 0.7158 through 0.7748 resistance.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8165) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7554; (P) 0.7570; (R1) 0.7584; More…

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.7748 continues today and reaches as low as 0.7532 so far. Intraday bias remains on downside for 0.7490 support. Decisive break of 0.7490 will confirm completion of rise from 0.7158. In such case, near term outlook will be turned bearish for 0.7158 support. On the upside, above 0.7586 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. And, break of 0.7678 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside and could extend the rise fro 0.7158 through 0.7748 resistance.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8165) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7534; (P) 0.7574; (R1) 0.7604; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside as fall from 0.7748 should target 0.7490 support first. Firm break of 0.7490 will confirm completion of rise from 0.7158. In such case, near term outlook will be turned bearish for 0.7158 support. On the upside, however, above 0.7678 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. And in this case, rise from 0.7159 could extend towards long term retracement level at 0.7849 before completion.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8165) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7583; (P) 0.7612; (R1) 0.7632; More…

AUD/USD drops to as low as 0.7567 so far today. Break of 0.7586 support indicates resumption of whole decline from 0.7748. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.7490 key near term support next. As noted before, firm break of 0.7490 will confirm completion of rise from 0.7158. In such case, near term outlook will be turned bearish for 0.7158 support. On the upside, however, above 0.7678 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. And in this case, rise from 0.7159 could extend towards long term retracement level at 0.7849 before completion.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8165) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7611; (P) 0.7637; (R1) 0.7653; More…

AUD/USD dips notably today but stays above 0.7586 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 0.7586 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.7490 support. Firm break there will confirm completion of rise from 0.7158. In such case, near term outlook will be turned bearish for 0.7158 support next. On the upside, break of 0.7748 will extend the rally from 0.7158. In that case, we’d expect strong resistance from long term retracement level at 0.7849 to limit upside.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8165) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD recovered after dipping to 0.7586 and mixed up near term outlook. We’ll be neutral for the moment until a break of neither 0.7748 resistance or 0.7490 support.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in AUD/USD is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.7748 will extend the rally from 0.7158. In that case, we’d expect strong resistance from long term retracement level at 0.7849 to limit upside. On the downside, below 0.7586 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.7490 support. Firm break there will confirm completion of rise from 0.7158. In such case, near term outlook will be turned bearish for 0.7158 support next.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8165) and above.

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, while the down trend from 1.1079 might extend lower, we’re not anticipating a break of 0.6008 (2008 low) yet. We’ll look for bottoming above there to reverse the medium term trend.

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7628; (P) 0.7653; (R1) 0.7667; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.7748 will extend the rally from 0.7158. In that case, we’d expect strong resistance from long term retracement level at 0.7849 to limit upside. On the downside, below 0.7586 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.7490 support. Firm break there will confirm completion of rise from 0.7158. In such case, near term outlook will be turned bearish for 0.7158 support next.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8169) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart