AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.8124 resumed last week and reached as low as 0.7535 so far. Initial bias stays on the downside this week. Current fall is expected to target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. On the upside, above 0.7607 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.7729 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8049). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7729 near term resistance holds.

In the longer term picture, 0.6826 is seen as a long term bottom. Rise from there could either reverse the down trend from 1.1079, or just develop into a corrective pattern. At this point, we’re favoring the latter. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 holds, we’d anticipate another decline through 0.6826 at a later stage. But strong support should be seen between 0.4773 (2001 low) and 0.6008 (2008 low).

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7564; (P) 0.7586; (R1) 0.7610; More…

AUD/USD’s decline continues today and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current fall from 0.8124 is expected to target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. On the upside, above 0.7607 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.7729 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7563; (P) 0.7598; (R1) 0.7622; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside with 0.7649 minor resistance intact. Current fall from 0.8124 is expected to target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. On the upside, above 0.7649 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.7729 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7610; (P) 0.7630; (R1) 0.7651; More…

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.8124 is still in progress and reaches as low as 0.7575 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. On the upside, above 0.7649 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.7729 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7622; (P) 0.7661; (R1) 0.7695; More…

Break of 0.7624 support indicates that larger decline from 0.8124 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Deeper fall should be seen to next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. Nonetheless, break of 0.7694 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 0.7896 resistance and possibly above.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7642; (P) 0.7668; (R1) 0.7682; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 0.7624 continues. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited well below 0.7896 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, decisive break of 0.7624 will resume whole fall from 0.8124 and target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s consolidation from 0.7624 continued last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited well below 0.7896 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, decisive break of 0.7624 will resume whole fall from 0.8124 and target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

In the longer term picture, 0.6826 is seen as a long term bottom. Rise from there could either reverse the down trend from 1.1079, or just develop into a corrective pattern. At this point, we’re favoring the latter. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 holds, we’d anticipate another decline through 0.6826 at a later stage. But strong support should be seen between 0.4773 (2001 low) and 0.6008 (2008 low).

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7654; (P) 0.7674; (R1) 0.7698; More…

AUD/USD’s consolidation from 0.7624 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. Overall, near term outlook stays bearish with 0.7896 resistance intact and deeper fall is expected. Decisive break of 0.7624 will resume whole decline from 0.8124. And, AUD/USD should target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7644; (P) 0.7664; (R1) 0.7697; More…

Outlook in AUD/USD remains unchanged as consolidation pattern from 0.7624 is extending. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Near term outlook stays bearish with 0.7896 resistance intact and deeper fall is expected. Decisive break of 0.7624 will resume whole decline from 0.8124. And, AUD/USD should target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7614; (P) 0.7657; (R1) 0.7687; More…

AUD/USD is still holding in range above 0.7624 support and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. More consolidation could still be seen. But after al, near term outlook stays bearish with 0.7896 resistance intact and deeper fall is expected. Decisive break of 0.7624 will resume whole decline from 0.8124. And, AUD/USD should target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7655; (P) 0.7673; (R1) 0.7708; More…

AUD/USD recovers ahead of 0.7624 support as consolidation continues. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Near term outlook remains bearish with 0.7896 resistance intact and deeper fall is expected. Decisive break of 0.7624 will resume whole decline from 0.8124. And, AUD/USD should target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7620; (P) 0.7667; (R1) 0.7697; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral with focus on 0.7624 support. Decisive break there will resume the whole decline from 0.8124. And, AUD?USD should target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. In case of another rise, upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.7896 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD stayed in consolidation above 0.7624 last week with weak recovery. Initial bias remains neutral this week first with focus back on 0.7624. Decisive break there will pave the way to next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. In case of another rise, upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.7896 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

In the longer term picture, 0.6826 is seen as a long term bottom. Rise from there could either reverse the down trend from 1.1079, or just develop into a corrective pattern. At this point, we’re favoring the latter. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 holds, we’d anticipate another decline through 0.6826 at a later stage. But strong support should be seen between 0.4773 (2001 low) and 0.6008 (2008 low).

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7679; (P) 0.7704; (R1) 0.7738; More…

AUD/USD is staying in consolidation above 0.7624 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, decisive of 0.7624 will resume whole decline from 0.8124 and target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. In case of another rise, upside should be limited well below 0.7896 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7649; (P) 0.7673; (R1) 0.7698; More…

AUD/USD’s recovery from 0.7624 extends higher today. But still it’s seen as a correction. Hence, upside should be limited well below 0.7896 resistance to bring fall resumption. Firm break of 0.7624 will resume whole decline from 0.8124 and target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7630; (P) 0.7664; (R1) 0.7689; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 0.7624 temporary low. In case of another rise, upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.7896 resistance to bring decline resumption. Firm break of 0.7624 will resume whole decline from 0.8124 and target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7664; (P) 0.7678; (R1) 0.7700; More…

AUD/USD is staying in consolidation above 0.7624 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.7896 resistance to bring decline resumption. Firm break of 0.7624 will resume whole decline from 0.8124 and target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7641; (P) 0.7659; (R1) 0.7693; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for consoldiation above 0.7624 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.7896 resistance to bring decline resumption. Firm break of 0.7624 will resume whole decline from 0.8124 and target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s decline from 0.8124 resumed last week by taking out 0.7732 already. A temporary low is formed at 0.7624 after hitting 0.7628 fibonacci level. Initial bias is neutral this week for consolidations first. But upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.7896 resistance to bring fall resumption. Firm break of 0.7624 will target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

In the longer term picture, 0.6826 is seen as a long term bottom. Rise from there could either reverse the down trend from 1.1079, or just develop into a corrective pattern. At this point, we’re favoring the latter. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 holds, we’d anticipate another decline through 0.6826 at a later stage. But strong support should be seen between 0.4773 (2001 low) and 0.6008 (2008 low).

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7639; (P) 0.7678; (R1) 0.7702; More…

AUD/USD’s decline continues today and reaches as low as 0.7624 so far. 0.7628 fibonacci level is met and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias remains on the downside. Sustained trading below 0.7628 will pave the way to 0.7322/38 cluster support next. On the upside, 0.7718 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.7826 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is seen as corrective pattern. Current development suggests that it might be completed with three waves up to 0.8124 already. Break of 38.2% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7628 will affirm this bearish case. And, decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement at 0.7322) will confirm and bring retest of 0.6826 low. In case rise from 0.6826 resumes and extends, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart