AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7770; (P) 0.7834; (R1) 0.7867; More…

At this point, AUD/USD is staying in range of 0.7758/7988. Intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 0.7988 will extend the rebound to retest 0.8135. On the downside, below 0.7758 will resume the fall from 0.8135 and target 0.7500 key near term support. At this point, there is no strong case for a range breakout yet and 0.7500/8135 could hold for a while.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7860; (P) 0.7897; (R1) 0.7919; More…

AUD/USD is staying in range of 0.7758/7988 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, above 0.7988 will extend the rebound to retest 0.8135. On the downside, below 0.7758 will resume the fall from 0.8135 and target 0.7500 key near term support. At this point, there is no strong case for a range breakout yet and 0.7500/8135 could hold for a while.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7894; (P) 0.7915; (R1) 0.7931; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 0.7988 will extend the rebound to retest 0.8135. On the downside, below 0.7758 will resume the fall from 0.8135 and target 0.7500 key near term support. At this point, there is no strong case for a range breakout yet and 0.7500/8135 could hold for a while.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7902; (P) 0.7934; (R1) 0.7977; More…

AUD/USD recovers mildly today after drawing support from 4 hour 55 EMA. But it’s staying below 0.7988 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 0.7988 will extend the rebound to retest 0.8135. On the downside, below 0.7758 will resume the fall from 0.8135 and target 0.7500 key near term support. At this point, there is no strong case for a range breakout yet and 0.7500/8135 could hold for a while.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD rebounded strongly to 0.7988 last week but lost momentum since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, above 0.7988 will extend the rebound to retest 0.8135. On the downside, below 0.7758 will resume the fall from 0.8135 and target 0.7500 key near term support. At this point, there is no strong case for a range breakout yet and 0.7500/8135 could hold for a while.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

In the longer term picture, 0.6826 is seen as a long term bottom. Rise from there could either reverse the down trend from 1.1079, or just develop into a corrective pattern. At this point, we’re favoring the latter. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 holds, we’d anticipate another decline through 0.6826 at a later stage. But strong support should be seen between 0.4773 (2001 low) and 0.6008 (2008 low).

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7902; (P) 0.7934; (R1) 0.7977; More…

As noted before, the pull back from 0.8135 has completed at 0.7758 already. Intraday bias remains on the upside for retesting 0.8135 first. Decisive break there will resume medium term up trend for 0.8451 fibonacci level. On the downside, below 0.7758 will resume the fall towards 0.7500 key support. We’d look for strong support from 0.7500 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7820; (P) 0.7877; (R1) 0.7982; More…

AUD/USD’s break of 0.7909 minor resistance argues that fall from 0.8135 has completed at 0.7758 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 0.8135 resistance first. Break will resume medium term up trend for 0.8451 fibonacci level. On the downside, below 0.7758 will resume the fall towards 0.7500 key support. We’d look for strong support from 0.7500 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7831; (P) 0.7854; (R1) 0.7880; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral with 0.7909 minor resistance intact, and deeper fall is in favor. Break of 0.7758 will extend the fall from 0.8135 to 0.7500 key support. At this point, there is no clearly sign of larger trend reversal yet. Hence, we’d look for strong support from 0.7500 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.7909 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.8135 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7826; (P) 0.7844; (R1) 0.7880; More…

AUD/USD’s recovery from 0.7758 extends higher today but it’s staying below 0.7909 minor resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral and deeper decline remain in favor. Break of 0.7758 will extend the fall from 0.8135 to 0.7500 key support. At this point, there is no clearly sign of larger trend reversal yet. Hence, we’d look for strong support from 0.7500 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.7909 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.8135 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7756; (P) 0.7800; (R1) 0.7824; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral for consolidation above 0.7758 temporary low. But further decline is expected as long as 0.7909 resistance holds. Below 0.7758 will target 0.7500 key support. At this point, there is no clearly sign of larger trend reversal yet. Hence, we’d look for strong support from 0.7500 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.7909 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.8135 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s decline from 0.8135 extended to as low as 0.7758 last week. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 0.7500 key support. At this point, there is no clearly sign of larger trend reversal yet. Hence, we’d look for strong support from 0.7500 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.7909 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.8135 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

In the longer term picture, 0.6826 is seen as a long term bottom. Rise from there could either reverse the down trend from 1.1079, or just develop into a corrective pattern. At this point, we’re favoring the latter. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 holds, we’d anticipate another decline through 0.6826 at a later stage. But strong support should be seen between 0.4773 (2001 low) and 0.6008 (2008 low).

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7756; (P) 0.7800; (R1) 0.7824; More…

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.8135 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside for retesting 0.7500 support. At this point, there is no clearly sign of larger trend reversal yet. Hence, we’d look for strong support from 0.7500 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.7909 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.8135 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7789; (P) 0.7848; (R1) 0.7881; More…

AUD/USD’s decline from 0.8135 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA will argue that rise from 0.7500 has totally completed and will pave the way to retest this support level. Nonetheless, break of 0.7909 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.8135 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7856; (P) 0.7883; (R1) 0.7930; More…

AUD/USD is drawing support from 55 day EMA and recovered Still, with 0.7953 minor resistance intact, intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA will argue that rise from 0.7500 has totally completed and will pave the way to retest this support level. Nonetheless, break of 0.7953 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.8135 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7850; (P) 0.7901; (R1) 0.7929; More…

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.8135 continues to as low as 0.7847 so far today and touches 55 day EMA (now at 0.7854). Intraday bias remains on the downside. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA will argue that rise from 0.7500 has totally completed and will pave the way to retest this support level. On the upside, above 0.7953 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery will likely be limited below 0.8135 resistance at first attempt.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7875; (P) 0.7960; (R1) 0.8003; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside. Fall from 0.8135 should target 55 day EMA (now at 0.7856). Sustained break there will argue that rise from 0.7500 has already finished and will bring deeper fall to retest this support level. On the upside, above 0.7986 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery will likely be limited below 0.8135 resistance at first attempt.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s sharp decline last week confirmed short term topping at 0.8135, after being rejected by 0.8124 resistance. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 55 day EMA (now at 0.7851). Sustained break there will argue that rise from 0.7500 has already finished and will bring deeper fall to retest this support level. On the upside, above 0.7986 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery will likely be limited below 0.8135 resistance at first attempt.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

In the longer term picture, 0.6826 is seen as a long term bottom. Rise from there could either reverse the down trend from 1.1079, or just develop into a corrective pattern. At this point, we’re favoring the latter. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 holds, we’d anticipate another decline through 0.6826 at a later stage. But strong support should be seen between 0.4773 (2001 low) and 0.6008 (2008 low).

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7994; (P) 0.8031; (R1) 0.8074; More…

As noted before, a short term top was formed at 0.8135 after failing to sustain above 0.8124 resistance. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.7856). At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. But sustained trading below the EMA will bring retest of 0.7500 key near term support. On the upside, sustained break of 0.8124 will resume whole medium term rebound from 0.6826 and target key fibonacci level at 0.8451.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that medium term rebound from 0.6826 is still in progress and could be resuming. Such rise could target 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.6826 (2016 low) at 0.8451. As such rise is seen as a corrective move, we’d expect strong resistance from 0.8451 to limit upside and bring reversal. Break of 0.7500 support will indicate that the medium term trend has reversed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8021; (P) 0.8069; (R1) 0.8104; More…

AUD/USD’s decline today and break of 0.8003 minor support suggests that a short term top is formed at 0.8135, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. That also came after failing to sustain above 0.8124 resistance. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.7851). At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. But sustained trading below the EMA will bring retest of 0.7500 key near term support. On the upside, sustained break of 0.8124 will resume whole medium term rebound from 0.6826 and target key fibonacci level at 0.8451.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that medium term rebound from 0.6826 is still in progress and could be resuming. Such rise could target 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.6826 (2016 low) at 0.8451. As such rise is seen as a corrective move, we’d expect strong resistance from 0.8451 to limit upside and bring reversal. Break of 0.7500 support will indicate that the medium term trend has reversed.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8021; (P) 0.8069; (R1) 0.8104; More…

AUD/USD is staying in consolidation below 0.8124 key resistance and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Again, as long as 0.8003 support holds, further rally is expected. Sustained break of 0.8124 resistance will resume whole medium term rebound from 0.6826 and target key fibonacci level at 0.8451. However, on the downside, break of 0.8003 support will indicate short term topping, likely with bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. And in such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.7851).

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that medium term rebound from 0.6826 is still in progress and could be resuming. Such rise could target 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.6826 (2016 low) at 0.8451. As such rise is seen as a corrective move, we’d expect strong resistance from 0.8451 to limit upside and bring reversal.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart