Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6012; (P) 1.6048; (R1) 1.6091; More….
EUR/AUD is still bounded in consolidation pattern from 1.6189 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Deeper retreat might be seen. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5857 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.6189 will resume the whole rally from 1.5153 and target 1.6587 key resistance. Nonetheless, break of 1.5857 will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn bias to the downside for 1.5621 support to confirm.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. And it’s still in progress for 1.6587 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But for now, break of 1.5621 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stays bullish even in case of deep pull back.