Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9461; (P) 0.9488; (R1) 0.9516; More…
No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as it’s staying in range of 0.9423/9568. Intraday bias remains neutral. As noted before, rebound from 0.9186 could still extend higher. But considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, upside should be limited by 0.9626 key fibonacci level, to complete the rebound from 0.9186. Break of 0.9432 support will indicate near term reversal and turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.9186 low. Nonetheless, sustained break of 0.9626 will carry larger bullish implications.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Current development is raising the chance that it is completed. But there is no confirmation yet. Focus will now be back on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add much credence to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.
