Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8447; (P) 0.8522; (R1) 0.8559; More…
Intraday bias remains on the downside for 0.8402 support. Consolidation pattern from 0.8303 could have finished at 0.8786 already. Break of 0.8402 will resume that larger decline from 0.9304 and target 0.8303 and below. Nonetheless, as fall from 0.9304 is viewed as as a corrective move, we’d expect strong support at 0.8116/20 cluster support to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.8604 support turned resistance is needed to indicate completion of fall from 0.8786. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Such decline is likely ready to resume and should make a new low below 0.8303. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high). However, sustained break of 0.8116 could bring deeper decline to next key support level at 0.7564 before the correction completes.
