USD/JPY is showing little movement in the Monday session. In North American trade, USD/JPY is trading at 113.00, down 0.06% on the day. On the release front, there are no major US or Japanese events. On Tuesday, the US releases JOLTS Jobs Openings.
On Friday, the US posted mixed employment numbers. Nonfarm Payrolls dropped to 148 thousand, down from 228 thousand in the previous release. This was well below the estimate of 190 thousand. There was better news from wage growth, which edged up to 0.3%, matching the forecast. This marked a 3-month high. The unemployment rate remained unchanged, at a sizzling 4.1%.
As we begin the New Year, what can investors expect from the Bank of Japan? BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda has generally stuck to his script that the Bank will maintain its massive stimulus program until inflation rises, but there have been subtle hints form Kuroda that he could change course, if the economic rebound which marked 2017 continues. The stimulus program has failed to lift inflation above 1%, well below the BoJ inflation target of around 2%. Some analysts expect a ‘stealth tapering’, whereby the BoJ would reduce asset purchases and tighten policy, but in small, incremental steps. In this way, the BoJ could change its monetary stance, while minimizing market volatility.
Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is slated to end his 5-year term in April, but will he be staying on? The Japanese government hasn’t made up its mind, and Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said as much on Sunday. Abe said that Kuroda has met his expectations, but admitted that he had not made up his mind about the reappointment. With Japan posting seven straight quarters of growth and inflation moving higher, there’s a strong likelihood that Kuroda will be given the green light for another term at the helm of the central bank.
