Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8648; (P) 0.8679; (R1) 0.8730; More…
Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral again with today’s retreat, but further rally is expected as long as 0.8631 support holds. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8374 at 0.8698 will argue that fall from 0.9223 has completed after defending 0.8332 low. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.8899 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 0.8631 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8613).
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with fall from 0.9223 as the second leg. Strong support could be seen from 0.8332 to bring rebound. Yet, overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8332, however, will resume larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high).
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