EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0923; (P) 1.0938; (R1) 1.0954; More….

EUR/USD is staying above 1.0899 temporary low and intraday bias stays neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 1.0996 resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920 will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

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