Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0962; (P) 1.0980; (R1) 1.0998; More….
EUR/USD dips mildly today but stays above 1.0950 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further decline is expected as long as 1.1043 resistance holds. Below 1.0950 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next.
In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.
