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Bitcoin Price at Risk: Are More Downsides Ahead?

Key Highlights

  • Bitcoin price is struggling to recover above the $60,000 resistance.
  • BTC is trading below a key bearish trend line with resistance at $59,400 on the 4-hour chart.
  • Oil prices extended losses and traded below $72.50.
  • Gold might correct gains and retest the $2,450 support.

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave from the $57,000 zone. BTC/USD climbed above the $58,500 resistance but the upsides were limited.

Looking at the 4-hour chart, the price failed to settle above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $64,996 swing high to the $57,077 low. BTC is also trading below a key bearish trend line with resistance at $59,400.

The main resistance seems to be forming near the $60,000 zone and the 200 simple moving average (green, 4 hours). It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $64,996 swing high to the $57,077 low.

A clear move above the trend line and then $60,000 might send the price toward the 100 simple moving average (red, 4 hours) at $60,500.

A successful close above $60,500 might start another steady increase. In the stated case, the price may perhaps rise toward the $62,000 level.

Immediate support is near the $57,250 level. The next key support sits at $56,500. A downside break below $56,500 might send Bitcoin toward the $55,000 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $52,500 support zone.

Looking at gold, the price is showing a few bearish signs and it might correct gains to test the $2,450 support zone.

Today’s Economic Releases

  • US Factory Orders for July 2024 (MoM) – Forecast +4.6%, versus -3.3% previous.
  • Fed’s Beige Book.
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