We noted bullish sentiment in the gold market six days ago:
→ The price is moving within an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ Bulls may attempt to set a historic record amid the release of economic news.
As today’s XAU/USD chart shows, the gold price has risen above the psychological level of $2500. This was influenced by last week’s news, indicating that market participants expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates as early as September. Notably, important signals regarding U.S. monetary policy may be given later this week at the annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, attended by finance ministers and central bank governors.
Technical analysis of the XAU/USD chart shows that gold continues to move within the ascending channel.
It’s worth noting two historical records set this year – in May and July. In both cases:
→ The price encountered resistance at the upper boundary of the channel;
→ The RSI indicator entered the overbought zone;
→ The rise above the previous peak was minimal;
→ A subsequent decline to the median line of the blue channel followed (as shown by the arrows).
It’s possible that a similar pattern could repeat for a third time, considering that the $2500 psychological level might act in favour of the bears – similar false breakouts (but in reverse) were observed at the $2300 level in June.
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