EUR/JPY’s up trend resumed last week and hit 160.84 before turning into consolidation. Initial bias stays neutral this week as more sideway trading could be seen. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 157.67 support holds. Break of 160.84 will resume larger up trend to 163.06 projection level next.
In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. On the downside, break of 154.32 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.
In the long term picture, rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high).