Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2110; (P) 1.2137; (R1) 1.2179; More
GBP/USD is still bounded in established range despite today’s rebound, and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, firm break of 1.2287 resistance will argue that rise from 1.2036 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2315) holds, in case of rebound.
