GBP/JPY edged higher to 186.45 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week, for pull back to 183.23 resistance turned support. Nevertheless, break 186.45 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 158.24 to 183.99 from 176.29 at 192.20.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.
In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress to retest 195.86 (2015 high). Based on current momentum, break of 195.86 is in favor. But strong resistance could still be seen from 61.8% retracement of 251.09 (2007 high) to 116.83 (2011 low) at 199.80 to limit upside on first attempt.
