In an article penned for The Scotsman newspaper, BoE Monetary Policy Committee member Jonathan Haskel signaled the potential for further increases in interest rates, citing persistent inflation concerns.
Haskel highlighted an improvement in UK’s inflation outlook, observing, “Things look better than a few months ago. Since October last year, inflation has fallen from 11.1 per cent to 8.7 per cent, and we expect it to be around 5 per cent by the end of this year.”
However, he expressed concern that “inflation remains much too high,” reaffirming the MPC’s commitment to achieving its 2% target. “Our tool for doing this is interest rates,” he added.
“My own view is that it’s important we continue to lean against the risks of inflation momentum, and therefore that further increases in interest rates cannot be ruled out,” he said.
Haskel addressed the often-asked question of how increasing interest rates can help when inflation is driven by the prices of essential goods like energy and food, largely determined at a global level.
He clarified, “The aim of higher interest rates is not to affect the prices of these goods directly. Instead, it is to ensure the resulting inflation does not become embedded in the economy and prices do not continue to increase at the rates we’ve seen recently.”