EUR/GBP’s choppy decline from 0.8718 resumed last week and edged lower to 0.8540. But a temporary bottom was quickly formed and it recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, below 0.8540 will resume the fall from 0.8718 to retest 0.8470 low. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 0.8627 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.8670 resistance and above instead.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.
In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.
