Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8538; (P) 0.8564; (R1) 0.8596; More…
EUR/GBP’s break of 0.8666 confirms resumption of rebound form 0.8303. And the break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9304 to 0.8303 at 0.8685 revived the case of near term reversal. That is, corrective fall from 0.9304 could be finished at 0.8303 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 61.8% retracement at 0.8922 and above. At this point, we’re not expecting up trend resumption yet. Thus, we’ll expect strong resistance above 0.8922 to limit upside and bring another fall. On the downside, below 0.8449 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.8303 first. Break there will extend the whole fall from 0.9304. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming signal again at around 0.8116.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d expect strong support around 55 weeks EMA (now at 0.8243) to contain downside. Overall, the corrective pattern would take some time to complete before long term up trend resumes at a later stage. Break of 0.9304 will pave the way to 0.9799 (2008 high).
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