Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.21; (P) 109.79; (R1) 110.13; More…
USD/JPY’s fall continues today and breaks 108.72 support. The development argues that whole decline from 118. 65 is resuming. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 108.12 first, and then next medium term fibonacci level at 106.48.On the upside, break of 110.94 is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook remains bearish in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the fall from 118.65 suggests that rise from 98.97 is not completed yet. Break of 118.65 will target a test on 125.85 high. At this point, it’s uncertain whether rise from 98.97 is resuming the long term up trend from 75.56, or it’s a leg in the consolidation from 125.85. Hence, we’ll be cautious on topping as it approaches 125.85. If fall from 118.65 extends lower, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48 and bring rebound.
