HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisUSD Trades Broadly Weaker

USD Trades Broadly Weaker

General Trend

  • Topix Securities, Real Estate, Marine Transportation, Electric Appliances and Insurance indices are among the gainers in Japan; Banks and Air Transportation firms lag
  • Australian Consumer and Financial firms rebound from the declines seen on Mon; Energy index lags
  • Australian lithium firms announce merger (Pilbara Minerals and Altura)
  • Financials and Consumer firms were among the early gainers in Shanghai
  • Chinese Corp Debt: Yongcheng Coal said to repay interest on certain bonds; Tianqi Lithium receives payment extension; FT commented on Huachen Auto; Wintime Energy was also in the headlines
  • Financials rise in HK, Tech firms trade generally weaker; Shares of Alibaba have remained heavy; CNOOC extends decline amid regulatory uncertainty; Sino Biopharmaceutical weighed down by financial results
  • PBOC Gov warned against the monetization of gov’t debt
  • FOMC member Kaplan commented on the Dec Fed meeting
  • Little news seen in the RBA’s statement
  • Australia Q3 GDP data due on Wed (Dec 2nd)
  • RBA Gov Lowe is due to appear before the Australian House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics on Dec 2nd [at 11 pm GMT]
  • RBNZ Gov also due to speak on Wed

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.2%
  • (AU) RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA (RBA) LEAVES CASH RATE TARGET UNCHANGED AT 0.10%, AS EXPECTED; MAINTAINS A$100B BOND BUYING PROGRAM
  • (AU) Australia Nov Final PMI Manufacturing: 55.8 v 56.1 prelim (highest since Dec 2017, 6th consecutive month of expansion)
  • (AU) AUSTRALIA OCT BUILDING APPROVALS M/M: +3.8% V -3.0%E
  • (AU) Australia total payroll jobs change between Oct 31st and Nov 14th: +0.1% v +0.5% prior; Weekly total wages +0.8% v +0.1% prior

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.7%
  • (JP) JAPAN OCT JOBLESS RATE: 3.1% V 3.1%E; Job-To-Applicant Ratio: 1.04 v 1.03 prior (1st increase since Apr 2019)
  • (JP) Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Kato: PM Suga has instructed Japan Ministers to map out a 5-year infrastructure plan for Japan for total ~ÂĄ5.0T
  • (JP) JAPAN Q3 CAPITAL SPENDING (CAPEX) Y/Y: -10.6% V -11.3% PRIOR; CAPITAL SPENDING EX-SOFTWARE: -11.6% V -10.4% PRIOR
  • (JP) Japan Nov Final PMI Manufacturing: 49.0 v 48.3 prelim (highest reading since Aug 2019)
  • 9437.JP Reportedly plans to overhaul pricing structure of mainstream service and cut prices – Nikkei
  • (JP) Japan Econ Min Nishimura: Will urge business lobby to cooperate on telework; Number of furloughed workers are closer to in an average year
  • (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: Japan Financial System overall is stable, Retaining sense of caution on unclear economic outlook
  • (JP) Japan MoF sells ÂĄ2.6T v ÂĄ2.6T indicated in 0.1% 10-year JGBs; avg yield 0.019% v 0.046% prior; bid to cover: 3.42x v 4.13x prior

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.9%
  • (KR) SOUTH KOREA Q3 FINAL GDP Q/Q: 2.1% V 1.9% PRELIM (fastest expansion since Q3 2009, 1st expansion in 3 quarters) ; Y/Y: -1.1% V -1.3% PRELIM (confirms end of technical recession); Exports q/q: +16.0% v -16.1% prior (highest since 1986)
  • (KR) South Korea President Moon: Revised GDP Growth show economic recovery; record run for the Kospi index shows confidence in the domestic economy
  • South Korea Ruling and Opposition parties said to agree to 2021 budget; KRW2.0T in bond sales – Yonhap
  • (KR) South Korea to appeal World Trade Organization’s ruling that Korea partially violated anti-dumping rules when imposing tariffs on Japanese stainless steel bars
  • (KR) South Korea Foreign Min Kang calls for active efforts to develop an alliance with Biden administration and advance the Korean Peninsula peace process in cooperation with the new US president – Yonhap
  • (KR) South Korea Nov PMI Manufacturing: 52.9 v 51.2 prior (highest level since Feb 2011)

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened +0.3%; Shanghai Composite opened -0.1%
  • (CN) CHINA NOV CAIXIN PMI MANUFACTURING: 54.9 V 53.5E (10 year high, 7th consecutive month of expansion)
  • (CN) China PBoC Gov Yi Gang Article: Regulators and local governments should be held responsible and punished for failing to prevent major financial risks – Shanghai Securities News
  • (CN) China export control law that manages sensitive technology, military goods, dual use items that have both civil and military uses, and a licence requirement for anyone who intends to export or re-export these goods goes into effect today – China press
  • China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY20B in 7-day reverse repos v Injects CNY150B in 7-day reverse repos prior; Net drain CNY50B v Net inject CNY110B prior
  • China PBOC sets Yuan reference rate: 6.5921 v 6.5782 prior
  • (HK) Macau Nov Casino Rev (MOP): 6.8B v 7.3B prior; Y/Y: -70.5% v -69.8%e

Other

  • OPEC+ meeting reportedly rescheduled until Dec 3rd as more talks are said to be needed (had been planned for tomorrow)

North America

  • TSLA S&P announced details on addition of TSLA to the S&P500 index before the open on Dec 21st at full float adjusted market cap weight (will not break it into 2 tranches)
  • XOM Affirms FY21 capex $16-19B; guides $20-25B capex annually through 2025; to prioritize capital investments on high-value assets; cutting global workforce 15% by end of 2021; sees doubling earnings by 2027
  • (US) Fed’s Kaplan (FOMC voter): Expects strong economic growth in the second half of next year once newly developed COVID vaccines get rolled out widely, with cases surging now see “very difficult” next 3-6 months
  • (US) According to Adobe Analytics Cyber Monday sales forecast to $10.8-11.4B (prior $10.8B)

Europe

  • (UK) UK Govt expected to publish law that will repeal the Fixed-term Parliaments Act, which would give PM Johnson the power to decide timing of future elections – UK press
  • (IE) Ireland PM Martin: We are now really in endgame if a Brexit deal is to be arrived at this week, there is a landing zone for an agreement and there are option to conclude the deal – Press

Levels as of 12:15ET (05:15GMT)

  • Hang Seng +1.0%; Shanghai Composite +1.3%; Kospi +1.7%; Nikkei225 +1.5%; ASX 200 +1.1%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.9%; Nasdaq100 +0.8%, Dax +0.7%; FTSE100 +0.6%
  • EUR 1.1961-1.1925; JPY 104.47-104.25; AUD 0.7371-0.7341; NZD 0.7043-0.7010
  • Commodity Futures: Gold +0.4% at $1,787/oz; Crude Oil -0.7% at $45.04/brl; Copper +0.6% at $3.47/lb

 

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