The USD/JPY break above the resistance (red) would confirm (green check) the bullish wave outlook. Price is expected to aim for the Fibonacci targets of wave C vs A to complete a wave D (light purple) of a larger triangle pattern. A bearish breakout invalidates (red x) the wave pattern and indicates more downside.
The USD/JPY is testing the Fibonacci retracement levels of wave 4 (blue) vs 3. A bullish bounce that stays above the 61.8% Fib level could indicate an uptrend continuation (green check) whereas a break below the 61.8% Fib invalidates (red x) the wave 5 wave (blue) pattern.