USD/CHF’s down trend from 1.0342 resumed last week and reached as low as 0.9552. A temporary low is in place and initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidation first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 0.9770 resistance and bring another decline. Below 0.9551 will target 0.9443 key support level. At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound.
In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.
