GBP/USD – 1.2817
Recent wave: Wave V of larger degree wave (III) has ended at 1.1986 and major correction has commenced from there for gain to 1.3000 and 1.3140-50
Trend: Near term down
Original strategy :
Buy at 1.2660, Target: 1.2810, Stop: 1.2600
Position: –
Target: –
Stop: –
New strategy :
Buy at 1.2760, Target: 1.2910, Stop: 1.2700
Position: –
Target: –
Stop:-
As sterling has eased after surging to 1.2861, suggesting consolidation below this level would be seen and pullback to 1.2785-90 is likely, however, reckon previous resistance at 1.2760 would turn into support and limit cable’s downside, bring another rise later, above said resistance at 1.2861 would extend the rise from 1.2589 low for at least a strong retracement of recent entire decline from 1.3048 to 1.2900 and possibly towards 1.2950.
Our preferred count on the daily chart is that cable’s rebound from 1.3500 (wave (A) trough) is unfolding as a wave (B) with A ended at 1.7043, followed by triangle wave B and wave C as well as wave (B) has ended at 1.7192, the subsequent selloff is the larger degree wave (C) which is still unfolding with minor wave (III) of larger degree wave 3 ended at 1.1986, hence wave (IV) correction is in progress which could either be a triangle wave (IV) of a complex formation but upside should be limited to 1.3500 and price should falter well below 1.4000, bring another decline in wave (V) of 3 for weakness to 1.1500, then 1.1200.
On the downside, expect pullback to be limited to 1.2760 (previous resistance turned support) and bring such a rise. Below support at 1.2706 would abort and signal top is formed instead, risk further fall to 1.2675 and then towards support at 1.2640 which is likely to hold from here.
