BoJ left monetary policy unchanged today as widely expected. More importantly, the central bank now provides much clearer forward guidance. It’s noted that “the Bank intends to maintain the current extremely low levels of short- and long-term interest rates for an extended period of time, at least through around Spring 2020”. That’s based on “uncertainties regarding economic activity and prices including developments in overseas economies and the effects of the scheduled consumption tax hike.”
Under the yield curve control framework, short term interest rate is kept at -0.1%. BoJ will continue to purchase JGBs to keep 10-year yield at around 0%, with some flexibility. Annual pace of monetary base expansion is kept at JPY 80T. Y Harada dissented again, proposing to tie forward guidance to price stability target. G Kataoka also dissented too, urging BOJ to commit to take additional easing measures if there is downward revision in medium- to long-term inflation expectations. The vote was by 7-2.
On the economy, BoJ said it’s likely to “continue on a moderate expanding trend” despite the impact from overseas slowdown. CPI continued to show “relatively weak developments”, comparing to labor market tightening. But it expects CPI to “gradually” increase towards 2% target. Though, there are “high uncertainties regarding the outlook for economic activity and prices
including developments in overseas economies”.
