Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7440; (P) 0.7464; (R1) 0.7498; More…
AUD/USD’s recovery from 0.7328 extends higher today. The break of near term falling channel is seen as the first sign of near term reversal. But it’s staying below 0.7555 resistance so far and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, below 0.7388 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.7328. Break there will extend the decline from 0.7748 to 0.7144/7158 support zone. However, firm break of 0.7555 will argue that fall from 0.7748 is completed and turn bias back to the upside.
In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a corrective pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.
