After the initial breakthrough on truce in the trade wars, the U.S. and Chinese indices had lost momentum, and today are performing a moderate decline. On Tuesday morning, Futures on S&P500 are around the 2775, cutting 1.8% gains from Friday down to 0.4%. Shanghai’s China A50 is 1% below peak levels at the start of the Monday’s session.
The Initial optimism is slowly dissipating, and markets are await for the further signals. Today no important data publications are expected, so, players’ attention will switch to technical analysis.
It is interesting that the rebound in stocks on American exchanges was led by fast-growing IT-companies (FAANG), which underwent the most serious corrections in October and November. That may be a signal for a full return of risk appetite from the market participants.
Despite the impressive increase in heavyweights, such as Apple (+3.5%) and Amazon (4.9%), S&P500 yesterday failed to develop its rebound above the previous local highs. The growth of the index above the 2815 level has fast reversed to decline, which could be a harbinger of a new index drawdown to the October-November lows. The Sell signal, according to the technical analysis, can additionally strengthen the S&P500 below 2660 by the end of the day. In this case, we will see the return under the key levels of 200- and 50-day averages, and the so-called “Death Cross”, when MA (50) crosses the MA (200) line from top to bottom.