Consolidation Phase

A busy week lies ahead for central bank watchers and trade war enthusiasts as Fed officials pile on their views ahead of the 2-week blackout period and Trump-Xi meeting gets under way later this week. All currencies are up against the US dollar with the exception of the Japanese yen as global indices push higher across the board. EUR retests the 1.1380s after Armando Siri (econ adviser to Salvini) said to Il Messaggero that “a little fine-tuning of the budget” remains possible. The Italy-German 10-year spread falls to a 7-week low of 2.87%. ECB president Draghi is due to speak today to the EU Parliament at 14:00 London time and again on Thursday. On Wednesday, Fed Chair Powell speaks at the always interesting Economic Club of NY. The Fed minutes of the Nov 8 meeting will be issued on Thursday. Four other Fed officials are expected to appear later this week, so watch out for any signs of reduced Fed hawkishness. On Friday, an additional Premium long was issued on a major equity index, based on favourable seasonality patterns.

Ashraf Laidi
Ashraf Laidihttp://ashraflaidi.com/
Ashraf Laidi is an independent strategist and trader, founder of Intermarket Strategy Ltd and author of "Currency Trading & Intermarket Analysis". He is the former chief global strategist at City Index / FX Solutions, where he focused on foreign exchange and global macro developments pertaining to central bank policies, sovereign debt and intermarket dynamics. Ashraf had also served as Chief Strategist at CMC Markets, where he headed a global team of analysts and led seminars and trainings in four continents. His insights on currencies and commodities won him several #1 rankings with FXWeek and Reuters. Prior to CMC Markets, Laidi monitored the performance of a multi-FX portfolio at the United Nations, assessed sovereign and project investment risk with Hagler Bailly and the World Bank, and analyzed emerging market bonds at Reuters. Laidi also created the first 24-hour currency web site for traders and researchers alike on the eve of the creation of the euro. Laidi's analysis of currency markets stand out based on his distinct style in bridging the fundamental and technical aspects of the markets. Laidi regularly appears on CNBC TV (US, Europe, Arabia and Asia/Pacific), Bloomberg TV (US, Asia/Pacific, France and Spain), BNN, PBSs Nightly Business Report, and BBC. His insights also appear in the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal and Barrons. He has given numerous interviews and lectures in Arabic, French, and to audiences spanning from Canada, Central America and Asia/Pacific.

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