Sat, Feb 07, 2026 05:41 GMT
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    HomeContributorsTechnical AnalysisDaily Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Breaks RW And Builds First Bearish Wave

    Daily Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Breaks RW And Builds First Bearish Wave

    Currency pair EUR/USD

    The EUR/USD broke the support trend line (dotted blue) of the rising wedge (RW) reversal chart pattern (red/blue). The bearish breakout could be part of a larger reversal, which is reflected in the 1-2 wave count (brown). The alternative scenario would be a bearish retracement within a larger uptrend continuation, which at the moment would require a break above the top.

    The EUR/USD wave 4 (blue) respected the shallow Fibonacci level of 23.6% before breaking support (dotted blue) and price has reached the 61.8% Fibonacci target of wave 5 (blue). Price could either retrace as part of wave 2 on 4 hour chart or break the bottom and continue with 5 (blue).

    Currency pair GBP/USD

    The GBP/USD is moving higher in an uptrend channel which is indicated by the support (green) and resistance (red) trend lines. A bullish break could see price move towards the Fibonacci targets of wave 5 (purple) whereas a bearish break could start a reversal.

    The GBP/USD tested the previous top (green) of wave 1 (grey) but did not break and therefore the wave 4 (grey) could still be valid. A break above resistance (orange) could see a bullish break for wave 5 (grey).

    Currency pair USD/JPY

    The USD/JPY is building an uptrend channel which is indicated by the support (blue) and resistance (red) trend lines and moving towards the Fib targets of wave 5 (brown).

    The USD/JPY is extending the bullish 5th wave (brown/orange) with another 5 waves (grey). The wave 4 (grey) is invalidated if price breaks below the 61.8% Fibonacci level.

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